Pinehurst Poised for Glory: Dissecting US Open PGA Odds & Potential Winners

The prestigious U.S. Open returns this week, with the world’s best golfers descending upon Pinehurst No. 2 in North Carolina!

As excitement builds, let’s delve into the latest US Open PGA odds and analyze potential contenders to emerge victorious.

US Open Favorites, Contenders & Longshots | MyBookie PGA Betting Preview of the Golf Tournament

2024 United States Open Championship | 124th edition of the U.S. Open, the national open golf championship of the United States
PGA Tour tournament | PGA of America
Thursday, June 13th – Sunday, June 16th, 2024
Pinehurst Resort, Course No. 2 | Pinehurst, North Carolina
Defending Champion: Wyndham Clark 

PGA U.S. Open Odds to Win

The PGA Tour’s third major of the year happens this week when Scottie Schefler, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele and the other best golfers in the world head to Pinehurst No. 2 in North Carolina for the U.S. Open.

While established stars like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy sit atop the US Open PGA odds, the U.S. Open’s brutal test of strategy and shot-making can often favor underdogs.

Before placing your wagers, consider factors beyond pure talent.

Analyze recent performances on similar courses, a player’s mental fortitude under pressure, and their course history at Pinehurst.

These insights can help you identify potential value bets and craft a winning U.S. Open betting strategy.

Last year, underdog Wyndham Clark took the top prize.

Clark is back to defend his title. Which golfers should be on your radar to win this year’s U.S. Open?

Check out a breakdown of golf odds, analysis, and free picks for each category of player: favorites, second tier choices, tier 1 dogs, and tier II dogs.

PGA U.S. Open Odds to Win – Picks in Each Odds Category

Favorites

• Scottie Scheffler +300
• Rory McIlroy +1000
• Xander Schauffele +1200

Scheffler, McIlroy, and Schauffele are the only three that offer what most might consider favorites’ odds.

Scottie is the overall chalk at +300, followed by McIlroy the outright second choice at +1000 and Schauffele the third choice at +1200.

Among the three, although McIlroy and Schauffele can win this tournament, it’s impossible to go against Scheffler.

The world’s top ranked golfer has won 5 of the last 8 tournaments in which he’s participated.

He won the green jacket at the Masters, the Players Championship, and took home the Memorial trophy, and the winner’s share of $20 million, last week.

Nobody is playing as well as Scottie Scheffler.

He likely would have won the PGA Championship if he hadn’t suffered an arrest before teeing off in the second round.

Scheffler is the pick among the favorites.

PGA U.S. Open Pick: Scottie Scheffler

Second Tier Choice

• Viktor Hovland +1600
• Collin Morikawa +1600
• Bryson DeChambeau +1600
• Brooks Koepka +2000
• Ludvig Aberg +2000
• Jon Rahm +2200-Withdrawn

Lot’s of great choices in the second tier even with Jon Rahm’s withdrawal.

Rahm came down with an injury that will prevent the LIV golfer from participating.

Viktor Hovland’s form might be coming around.

Hovland finished third at the PGA Championship and a tied fifteenth at the Memorial.

DeChambeau has played great in the last two major tournaments.

Bryson carded a tied sixth at the Masters and a second at the PGA Championship.

Although DeChambeau hasn’t played great in LIV Golf tournaments, he’s been fantastic in the majors, which makes him a serious threat.

Brooks Koepka always has a chance.

Koepka is also playing excellent golf, finishing ninth at both the LIV Golf Adelaide and LIV Golf Houston and winning the LIV Golf Singapore.

For sure, Koepka is worth a look.

Aberg finished second at the PGA Championship and fifth at the Memorial.

The Swede has yet to win a tournament. But he’s playing well enough to land in the second tier choices category.

If Aberg has hot sticks, he’s another that can get it done if Scheffler, McIlroy, and Schauffele falter.

But although the players on this list can win the U.S. Open, Collin Morikawa is the second tier choice.

Morikawa finished fourth at the PGA Championship and Charles Schwab.

Then last week, Collin finished second behind Scheffler at the Memorial.

Morikawa is trending up, which is what you want to see when attempting to take down a player like Scottie Scheffler.  

PGA U.S. Open Pick: Collin Morikawa

Tier I Underdogs

• Tommy Fleetwood +3500
• Justin Thomas +3500
• Cameron Smith +3500
• Patrick Cantlay +4000
• Tyrrell Hatton +4500
• Max Homa +4500

Among the tier I underdogs, Justin Thomas looks like a possible play.

After a missed cut at the Masters, Thomas’ form turned around big time with a fifth at the RBC Heritage.

At the PGA Championship, JT scored an eighth place finish. Last week, Thomas finished a tied thirty-third, but that’s been the pattern.

Thomas finished fifth at the RBC, twenty-first at the Wells Fargo, eighth at the PGA Championship, and thirty-third at the Memorial.

Does that mean Justin Thomas finishes in the top 10 at Pinehurst No. 2, possibly even winning the tournament? Maybe.

PGA U.S. Open Pick: Justin Thomas  

Tier II Underdogs

• Shane Lowry +5000
• Matt Fitzpatrick +5000
• Hideki Matsuyama +5000
• Tom Kim +5500
• Jordan Spieth +5500

2021 Hideki Matsuyama could be sitting on a monster tournament.

Matsuyama got it together last week at the Memorial.

After a thirty-eighth at the Masters and a thirty-fifth at the PGA Championship, Matsuyama required a decent finish heading into the U.S. Open.

He got it at the Memorial after carding a -1 and finishing a tied eighth.

Hideki now has momentum.

At the +5000 odds, Matsuyama for sure is worth a look if you plan on backing a golfer in the Tier II Underdog category.

PGA U.S. Open Pick: Hideki Matsuyama

Tier III Underdogs

• Wyndham Clark +6000
• Tony Finau +6000
• Sahith Theegala +6000
• Sam Burns +6000
• Corey Connors +6000
• Will Zalatoris +6500
• Min Woo Lee +6500

Will Zalatoris hasn’t finished better than forty-first in his last four tournaments played.

Ah, but look at what he did at Augusta and in two round at the PGA Championship, and it’s apparent the +6500 choice is a possible U.S. Open upsetter.

Zalatoris finished ninth at the Masters. That alone makes him worth a look at the odds.

A deeper dive reveals that Will shot a 68 second round and 69 third round at the PGA Championship.

Those scores imply he would have landed in the top ten if had been consistent in the first and fourth rounds.

If Zalatoris can put together four straight rounds of consistent, meaningful golf, he can pull off the win.

If you’re looking for a Tier III dog with a shot, consider backing Will Zalatoris.

PGA U.S. Open Pick: Will Zalatoris

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