It’s that time of the year again when horse racing’s Triple Crown breaks from the gate. On Saturday, May 4, the top three year olds in the world not trained by Bob Baffert step into the starting gate at Churchill Downs for the 2024 Kentucky Derby.
The winner of the Derby is the only horse that can win the Preakness on May 18 and the Belmont Stakes at Saratoga this year on June 8 and win the Crown. We answer that question as well as profile Triple Crown contenders, plus MyBookie offers the online racebook lines for the races this year plus the top horses to win the Kentucky Derby.
MyBookie Horse Racing Preview
2024 Kentucky Derby | 150th edition of the Kentucky Derby – May 4
2024 Preakness Stakes | 150th edition of the Preakness Stakes – May 18
2024 Belmont Stakes | 156th edition of the Preakness Stakes – June 8
2024 Triple Crown Odds
Yes +1000
No -2000
Four Horses with the Best Chances of Winning the Triple Crown
Forever Young
2024 Wins: 100%
February 23rd, 2021 in Japan by Real Steel (JPN) out of Forever Darling
Bay Colt
By Saturday afternoon, U.S. horse racing fans could end up praising the efforts of trainer Yoshito Yahagi. Yahagi is one of the top horseman in the nation. He also put Forever Young on the path to the Kentucky Derby before the horse ran its first race.
The undefeated Forever Young has posted increasing Timeform ratings after every race. Forever Young ran, arguably, the best prep of the season when he beat his foes in the 1 1/8 miles UAE Derby. The runner has the form, trainer, and talent to win the Triple Crown.
Forever Young
Kentucky Derby Pick | Betting to Win Kentucky Derby
MyBookie Betting Lines for the top tracks
Fierceness
2024 Wins: 50%
March 27th, 2021 in Kentucky by City of Light out of Nonna Bella
Bay Colt
Fierceness’s biggest issue is Fierceness. When his head is right, no three year old in the world has the talent to beat the Todd Pletcher trainee.
But Fierceness’ head isn’t always right. The horse requires few impediments to win. The Kentucky Derby is notorious for pinballing front runners at the start. Those front runners often throw in the towel before the first turn.
Fierceness showed in the Holy Bull that he’ll give up if faced with adversity. The Holy Bull was a while ago. So Fierceness may have matured in his mind. If he hasn’t, he’ll blow up a lot of tickets on Saturday. If he has, a Triple Crown could be in his future.
Fierceness
Kentucky Derby Pick | Betting to Win Kentucky Derby
MyBookie Betting Lines for the top tracks
Sierra Leone
2024 Wins: 100%
March 30th, 2021 in Kentucky by Gun Runner out of Heavenly Love
Dark Bay or Brown Colt
The Chad Brown runner has the talent and the class to win the Triple Crown. Sierra Leone boasts a devastating turn of foot that should put him in the top four for sure on May 4.
Winning, though, could be an issue. Leone must break from post 2. Making a closing trip from post 2 in the Kentucky Derby will be tough because the rail isn’t always the best place to be and horses will backing up into the Brown runner in the later stages of the race.
If he gets it done, watch out. A Preakness and Belmont win, the Belmont is at 1 ¼ miles this year, FYI, would be more than possible. It’s all about the trip when it comes to Sierra Leone. Keep that in mind on Saturday.
Sierra Leone
Kentucky Derby Pick | Betting to Win Kentucky Derby
MyBookie Betting Lines for the top tracks
Just a Touch
2024 Wins: 33%
May 4th, 2021 in Kentucky by Justify out of Touching Beauty
Bay Colt
Just a Touch may have run a better race than Sierra Leone in the Bluegrass. Trained by Brad Cox, the lightly raced horse has the speed to stay with runners like Fierceness and Forever Young early.
That could benefit Just a Touch on Saturday. For sure, Just a Touch must improve off the Bluegrass effort, but every horse must improve to beat Fierceness and Forever Young. Just a Touch has just as much of a shot of improving as all the other horses in the race. A Derby win would signal that this one is a Triple Crown player because the breeding suggests he can easily get 1 ¼ miles.
Just a Touch
Kentucky Derby Pick | Betting to Win Kentucky Derby
MyBookie Betting Lines for the top tracks
2024 Kentucky Derby Field: Post Positions, Betting Odds, Jockeys, Trainers
Program Numbers | Horse | Qualifying Points | Trainer | Jockey |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dornoch | 75 | Danny Gargan | Luis Saez |
2 | Sierra Leone | 155 | Chad C. Brown | Tyler Gaffalione |
3 | Mystik Dan | 46 | Kenneth G. McPeek | Brian Hernandez Jr. |
4 | Catching Freedom | 125 | Brad H. Cox | Flavien Prat |
5 | Catalytic | 50 | Saffie Joseph Jr. | José Ortiz |
6 | Just Steel | 65 | D. Wayne Lukas | Keith Asmussen |
7 | Honor Marie | 65 | Whitworth D. Beckman | Ben Curtis |
8 | Just a Touch | 75 | Brad H. Cox | Florent Geroux |
9 | Encino | 40 | Brad H. Cox | Axel Concepcion |
10 | T O Password (JPN) | 40 | Daisuke Takayanagi | Kazushi Kimura |
11 | Forever Young (JPN) | 100 | Yoshito Yahagi | Ryusei Sakai |
12 | Track Phantom | 70 | Steven M. Asmussen | Joel Rosario |
13 | West Saratoga | 67 | Larry Demeritte | Jesús Castañón |
14 | Endlessly | 100 | Michael McCarthy | Umberto Rispoli |
15 | Domestic Product | 60 | Chad C. Brown | Irad Ortiz Jr. |
16 | Grand Mo the First | 40 | Victor Barboza Jr. | Emisael Jaramillo |
17 | Fierceness | 136 | Todd A. Pletcher | John R. Velazquez |
18 | Stronghold | 125 | Philip D’Amato | Antonio Fresu |
19 | Resilience | 110 | William I. Mott | Junior Alvarado |
20 | Society Man | 50 | Danny Gargan | Frankie Dettori |
Also eligible | ||||
21 | Epic Ride | 35 | John Ennis | Adam Beschizza |
22 | Mugatu | 14 | Jeff Engler | Joseph Talamo |
Updated Odds to Win 2025 Kentucky Derby
Horses | Odds |
---|---|
Top Tier | |
Journalism | +280 |
Sovereignty | +550 |
Sandman | +850 |
Luxor Cafe | +900 |
Burnham Square | +1000 |
Rodriguez | +1350 |
Baeza | +1600 |
American Promise | +1600 |
Final Gambit | +2000 |
Citizen Bull | +2000 |
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