Triple Crown Odds: Will 2024 Have a Winner?

It’s that time of the year again when horse racing’s Triple Crown breaks from the gate. On Saturday, May 4, the top three year olds in the world not trained by Bob Baffert step into the starting gate at Churchill Downs for the 2024 Kentucky Derby.

The winner of the Derby is the only horse that can win the Preakness on May 18 and the Belmont Stakes at Saratoga this year on June 8 and win the Crown. We answer that question as well as profile Triple Crown contenders, plus MyBookie offers the online racebook lines for the races this year plus the top horses to win the Kentucky Derby.

MyBookie Horse Racing Preview

2024 Kentucky Derby | 150th edition of the Kentucky Derby – May 4
2024 Preakness Stakes | 150th edition of the Preakness Stakes – May 18
2024 Belmont Stakes | 156th edition of the Preakness Stakes – June 8

2024 Triple Crown Odds

Yes +1000
No -2000

Four Horses with the Best Chances of Winning the Triple Crown

Forever Young

2024 Wins: 100%

February 23rd, 2021 in Japan by Real Steel (JPN) out of Forever Darling
Bay Colt

By Saturday afternoon, U.S. horse racing fans could end up praising the efforts of trainer Yoshito Yahagi. Yahagi is one of the top horseman in the nation. He also put Forever Young on the path to the Kentucky Derby before the horse ran its first race.

The undefeated Forever Young has posted increasing Timeform ratings after every race. Forever Young ran, arguably, the best prep of the season when he beat his foes in the 1 1/8 miles UAE Derby. The runner has the form, trainer, and talent to win the Triple Crown.

Forever Young
Kentucky Derby Pick | Betting to Win Kentucky Derby
MyBookie Betting Lines for the top tracks

Fierceness

2024 Wins: 50%

March 27th, 2021 in Kentucky by City of Light out of Nonna Bella
Bay Colt

Fierceness’s biggest issue is Fierceness. When his head is right, no three year old in the world has the talent to beat the Todd Pletcher trainee.

But Fierceness’ head isn’t always right. The horse requires few impediments to win. The Kentucky Derby is notorious for pinballing front runners at the start. Those front runners often throw in the towel before the first turn.

Fierceness showed in the Holy Bull that he’ll give up if faced with adversity. The Holy Bull was a while ago. So Fierceness may have matured in his mind. If he hasn’t, he’ll blow up a lot of tickets on Saturday. If he has, a Triple Crown could be in his future.

Fierceness
Kentucky Derby Pick | Betting to Win Kentucky Derby
MyBookie Betting Lines for the top tracks

Sierra Leone

2024 Wins: 100%

March 30th, 2021 in Kentucky by Gun Runner out of Heavenly Love
Dark Bay or Brown Colt

The Chad Brown runner has the talent and the class to win the Triple Crown. Sierra Leone boasts a devastating turn of foot that should put him in the top four for sure on May 4.

Winning, though, could be an issue. Leone must break from post 2. Making a closing trip from post 2 in the Kentucky Derby will be tough because the rail isn’t always the best place to be and horses will backing up into the Brown runner in the later stages of the race.

If he gets it done, watch out. A Preakness and Belmont win, the Belmont is at 1 ¼ miles this year, FYI, would be more than possible. It’s all about the trip when it comes to Sierra Leone. Keep that in mind on Saturday.

Sierra Leone
Kentucky Derby Pick | Betting to Win Kentucky Derby
MyBookie Betting Lines for the top tracks

Just a Touch

2024 Wins: 33%

May 4th, 2021 in Kentucky by Justify out of Touching Beauty
Bay Colt

Just a Touch may have run a better race than Sierra Leone in the Bluegrass. Trained by Brad Cox, the lightly raced horse has the speed to stay with runners like Fierceness and Forever Young early.

That could benefit Just a Touch on Saturday. For sure, Just a Touch must improve off the Bluegrass effort, but every horse must improve to beat Fierceness and Forever Young. Just a Touch has just as much of a shot of improving as all the other horses in the race. A Derby win would signal that this one is a Triple Crown player because the breeding suggests he can easily get 1 ¼ miles.

Just a Touch
Kentucky Derby Pick | Betting to Win Kentucky Derby
MyBookie Betting Lines for the top tracks

2024 Kentucky Derby Field: Post Positions, Betting Odds, Jockeys, Trainers

Program Numbers	Horse	Qualifying Points	Trainer	Jockey
1	Dornoch	75	Danny Gargan	Luis Saez
2	Sierra Leone	155	Chad C. Brown	Tyler Gaffalione
3	Mystik Dan	46	Kenneth G. McPeek	Brian Hernandez Jr.
4	Catching Freedom	125	Brad H. Cox	Flavien Prat
5	Catalytic	50	Saffie Joseph Jr.	José Ortiz
6	Just Steel	65	D. Wayne Lukas	Keith Asmussen
7	Honor Marie	65	Whitworth D. Beckman	Ben Curtis
8	Just a Touch	75	Brad H. Cox	Florent Geroux
9	Encino	40	Brad H. Cox	Axel Concepcion
10	T O Password (JPN)	40	Daisuke Takayanagi	Kazushi Kimura
11	Forever Young (JPN)	100	Yoshito Yahagi	Ryusei Sakai
12	Track Phantom	70	Steven M. Asmussen	Joel Rosario
13	West Saratoga	67	Larry Demeritte	Jesús Castañón
14	Endlessly	100	Michael McCarthy	Umberto Rispoli
15	Domestic Product	60	Chad C. Brown	Irad Ortiz Jr.
16	Grand Mo the First	40	Victor Barboza Jr.	Emisael Jaramillo
17	Fierceness	136	Todd A. Pletcher	John R. Velazquez
18	Stronghold	125	Philip D’Amato	Antonio Fresu
19	Resilience	110	William I. Mott	Junior Alvarado
20	Society Man	50	Danny Gargan	Frankie Dettori
Also eligible
21	Epic Ride	35	John Ennis	Adam Beschizza
22	Mugatu	14	Jeff Engler	Joseph Talamo

Updated Odds to Win 2025 Kentucky Derby

Horses	Odds
Top Tier
Journalism	+280
Sovereignty	+550
Sandman	+850
Luxor Cafe	+900
Burnham Square	+1000
Rodriguez	+1350
Baeza	+1600
American Promise	+1600
Final Gambit	+2000
Citizen Bull	+2000

Kentucky Derby Future Odds