While the Derby winner is a force to be reckoned with, history reveals upsets are very much a possibility. And for those who want to test their predictions, here’s a thrilling option: analyzing the Preakness Stakes lines for the race.
The dust from the Kentucky Derby has barely settled and on Wednesday night Bob Baffert said that Muth, the morning line chalk to win the 2024 Preakness, had struck a fever. Baffert and Muth’s owners scratched the horse from running the Triple Crown’s second jewel. Without Muth, favoritism will fall onto Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan.
What ponies have the best chances of beating Mystik Dan?
Keep reading for five horses offering great odds to end Mystik Dan’s Triple Crown attempt.
Betting on What Horse Can Take Down the Derby Champ in the Next Preakness Stakes | MyBookie Horse Racing Betting Preview for the 2nd Leg of the Triple Crown
Tuscan Gold 8/1
The odds on Tuscan Gold will dramatically change because of the scratch of Muth. Still, Gold should offer a decent price to beat Mystik Dan, which figures to go off at around even money.
So betting any other horse constitutes a win on a longshot. Tuscan Gold ran a bang up race in the Louisiana Derby only to fail to change leads late. The horse also didn’t see Catching Freedom and Honor Marie to his outside, which explains why he ended up finishing third. Any improvement, and he should improve because Chad Brown trains, can lead to the winner’s circle.
Betting Tuscan Gold to Win
2024 Wins: 50% / $142,000 earnings
Bay Colt | April 7th, 2021 in Kentucky by Medaglia d’Oro out of Valadorna
Longshots Pick: Tuscan Gold
Preakness Line: 8/1 | Horse Odds to Win Preakness Stakes
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Uncle Heavy 20/1
If we throw out the Bluegrass Stakes performance, Uncle Heavy is a prime longshot to get it done in the Preakness. The victory in the Grade 3 Withers in February impresses big time.
Not only that, but like Tuscan Gold, Heavy has been training great in the mornings. Give Uncle Heavy a huge shot to blow up the exotics. This is especially true if Mystik Dan fails to hit the board.
Betting Uncle Heavy to Win
2024 Wins: 50% / $167,500 earnings
Bay Colt | May 1st, 2021 in Pennsylvania by Social Inclusion out of Expect Wonderful
Longshots Pick: Uncle Heavy
Preakness Line: 20/1 | Horse Odds to Win Preakness Stakes
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Just Steel 15/1
The D. Wayne Lukas trainee had all sorts of trouble in the Derby. Just Steel ran well early, but by the second call his chances of winning were over. Because the field of the Preakness is much smaller, we shouldn’t sleep on this son of Justify.
The Coach will have Just Steel ready to roll and because Muth scratched, Steel projects as the front runner. Give this one a decent shot to go gate to wire. Also, Lukas has done this before, bring a horse that ran awful in the Derby to the Preakness and shocked the field. Steel is as legit of a longshot as it gets.
Betting Just Steel to Win
2024 Wins: 0% / $483,750 earnings
Bay Colt | March 8th, 2021 in Kentucky by Justify out of Irish Lights (AUS)
Longshots Pick: Just Steel
Preakness Line: 15/1 | Horse Odds to Win Preakness Stakes
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Seize the Grey 15/1
The Grade 2 Pat Day Mile winner didn’t produce a sizable speed rating, but that’s okay. Mystik Dan’s speed rating to win the Kentucky Derby on the same day this one won the Pat Day didn’t blow anybody away, either.
There’s a chance Seize the Grey improves off the Pat Day Mile win. If that happens, here’s another that can get it done. Lukas also trains Seize the Grey. So the old Coach has a couple in here that could end Dan’s Triple Crown run.
Betting Seize the Grey to Win
2024 Wins: 50% / $518,800 earnings
Gray or Roan Colt | April 19th, 2021 in Kentucky by Arrogate out of Smart Shopping
Longshots Pick: Seize the Grey
Preakness Line: 15/1 | Horse Odds to Win Preakness Stakes
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Mugatu 20/1
Short fields can produce interesting results and this one ran well enough in the Bluegrass to consider. Named after Will Ferrell’s character in Zoolander, one of the great comedy films from the early 2000s, Mugatu finished seventh in the Bluegrass.
Any improvement could put this one in the top three for sure. If the race falls apart, which might happen because there is no real controlling speed, who knows? Maybe, Mugatu gets it done at massive odds.
Betting Mugatu to Win
2024 Wins: 0% / $36,678 earnings
Chestnut Colt | April 16th, 2021 in Kentucky by Blofeld out of Union Way
Longshots Pick: Mugatu
Preakness Line: 20/1 | Horse Odds to Win Preakness Stakes
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2024 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes
Betting Lines to Win Preakness Stakes
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Race
1. | Mugatu | 20-1 | Jeff Engler | Joe Bravo |
2. | Uncle Heavy | 20-1 | Butch Reid Jr. | Irad Ortiz Jr. |
3. | Catching Freedom | 6-1 | Brad Cox | Flavien Prat |
4. | Muth | SCR | Bob Baffert | Juan Hernandez |
5. | Mystik Dan | 5-2 | Kenny McPeek | Brian Hernandez Jr. |
6. | Seize the Gray | 15-1 | D. Wayne Lukas | Jaime Torres |
7. | Just Steel | 15-1 | D. Wayne Lukas | Joel Rosario |
8. | Tuscan Gold | 8-1 | Chad Brown | Tyler Gaffalione |
9. | Imagination | 6-1 | Bob Baffert | Frankie Dettori |
Updated Odds to Win 2025 Preakness Stakes
Gear up for the thrill of the track! Discover the latest updates on the odds to win the Preakness Stakes
Horses | Odds |
---|---|
Journalism | +110 |
River Thames | +600 |
Sandman | +600 |
Clever Again | +600 |
Goal Oriented | +700 |
Gosger | +1600 |
American Promise | +2000 |
Informed Patriot | +2000 |
Heart of Honor | +2500 |
Pay Billy | +3300 |
Bet Preakness Stakes Lines |
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Don’t miss the chance to witness history unfold in the Preakness Stakes: will the Derby champion consolidate his dominance or will a new champion emerge?
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Triple Crown Betting Alert
Get ready to witness history in the making in 2024! As we gear up for the Preakness Stakes, remember to keep an eye on the news for the Preakness Stakes favorites and the Belmont Stakes favorites. Will there be a Triple Crown winner in 2024? Join us as we analyze the contenders and explore the thrilling possibilities, guiding you towards your winning bets on each leg of the Triple Crown journey!
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