We are one month into the new NFL season, and I think it’s fair to suggest that no clear favorite has really emerged.
Sure, the Chiefs are still unbeaten, but they have looked shaky at times while the injuries are starting to pile up.
My NFL Betting Analysis in the Week 5
There are also a bunch of teams that have shown flashes of greatness, but not enough to make you want to put money on them to win the Super Bowl.
If you had to pick one team that has looked like the part of a champion, you would probably pick the Minnesota Vikings, yet there are a lot of fans and pundits waiting for that bubble to burst.
This weekend, the Vikings will be across the pond in London. England to face Aaron Rodgers and the New York Jets.
The Vikings are favored by 2 ½ points, with the total set at 40.
^New York Jets Odds +116
After years in the NFL wilderness, 2023 promised to be a turning point for the New York Jets with the arrival of Aaron Rodgers.
He went down in the first offensive series of the season with an injury that kept him out all year.
Mr. Worldwide pic.twitter.com/W6IztGiKkf
— New York Jets (@nyjets) October 4, 2024
Rodgers is back and healthy, but things have not been perfect for the Jets by a long stretch, as they come into Week 5 with a 2-2 record and on the heels of a really poor showing in a loss to the Denver Broncos this past weekend.
While they are in as the underdog in this game, they have been very good against the Vikings, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings with Minnesota.
If you figure this as a road game, though, things are not so good, with the Jets going 4-11 SU in their last 15 road trips.
They are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall and have seen the OVER hit in 4 of their last 6 games played in Week 5.
^Minnesota Vikings Odds -142
I think it’s fair to suggest that the Minnesota Vikings have been the surprise of the season.
More than that, though, it is the play of QB Sam Darnold that has everyone talking.
Darnold looked like a bust in the early part of his career, but he seems to have flipped the switch and is putting up numbers that are making him an early MVP candidate.
You can bet that he is especially excited to go against the team that drafted him and cut him loose a couple of years back.
It’s not all Darnold in Minnesota, though, as the Vikings have looked great from top to bottom on their way to a 4-0 record.
October has been a good month for the Vikings, who have won 8 of the last 9 games played in that month.
They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus the AFC East.
^Thursday’s #Vikings injury report pic.twitter.com/EjzhSksMCU
— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) October 3, 2024
Jets vs Vikings Betting Prediction in NFL Week 5
The OVER has hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams, and the total here is low enough that I think they might well go OVER it.
I also like the Vikings to win and cover the spread.
New York Jets 17, 24 Minnesota Vikings
^Jets vs Vikings NFL Week 5 Info
Date & Time: Sunday, October 6 at 9:30 AM EST
Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
TV: NFL Network
Jets vs Vikings in the Standings
AFC EAST | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | W | L | T | % | PF | PA | Home | Road | Strk |
Bills | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.750 | 122 | 83 | 2-0-0 | 1-1-0 | 1L |
Jets | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 | 76 | 62 | 1-1-0 | 1-1-0 | 1L |
Patriots | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 | 52 | 87 | 0-1-0 | 1-2-0 | 3L |
Dolphins | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 | 45 | 103 | 1-2-0 | 0-1-0 | 3L |
NFC NORTH | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | W | L | T | % | PF | PA | Home | Road | Strk |
Vikings | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 116 | 59 | 2-0-0 | 2-0-0 | 4W |
Lions | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.750 | 104 | 82 | 2-1-0 | 1-0-0 | 2W |
Packers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 | 104 | 89 | 1-1-0 | 1-1-0 | 1L |
Bears | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 | 77 | 75 | 2-0-0 | 0-2-0 | 1W |
W: Games Won | L: Missed Matches | T: Tied Matches | %: Percentage Victories | PF: Total Points For | PA: Total Points Against | HOME: Home Record | ROAD: Road Record | Strk: Streak
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