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MLB Betting Guide: Expert Picks Against the Spread for Weekend's Games

MLB Betting Guide: Expert Picks Against the Spread for Weekend’s Games

As spring turns into summer, we are closing in on the midway point of the 2024 MLB season, and it is fair to say that we are seeing some very clear favorites emerge.

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My Analysis for the Weekend MLB ATS Picks

As we have seen in the past, though, fortunes can change dramatically after the All-Star Game, with some teams having a tough time sustaining their strong start to the season, either through injury or a dip in form.

For now, all we can do is focus on the current trends when making our weekend ATS picks, which is what we are going to do now. Here are 4 games we really like over the next few days.

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Chicago Cubs over New York Mets

Friday, June 21, 2:20 PM | In terms of their overall records to this point in the season, there is very little separating these two teams. The Cubs have one more win than the Mets and have a decent record in their own ballpark, where they are 21-16.

They have also won 2 in a row, but in fairness to the Mets, they have been very good of late, winning 8 of their last 10 games. The big difference in this game, though, is the pitching.

The Cubs are set to start Shota Imanaga (7-1, 1.89 ERA), who has been nothing short of spectacular this season. I think he helps the Cubs get the win.

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Seattle Mariners over Miami Marlins

Friday, June 21, 7:10 PM, ESPN+ | The Mariners are in a great run of form right now, winning 8 of their last 10 to open up a 9-game lead in the AL West. If they do have a bit of an Achilles heel, it is their play on the road, where they are currently 3 games below .500, but will that be an issue against the struggling Marlins?

Miami has won 2 in a row, but also just 3 of their last 7, which means they now have just 25 wins this season. The Mariners have the edge over the Marlins in every facet of the game, so this could be a sweep weekend.

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LA Dodgers over LA Angels

Saturday, June 22, 10:10 PM | When you have a big lead in your division before reaching the midways point of the season, it’s easy to take the foot off the gas. That is what seems to be happening right now with the Dodgers, who have been playing .500 ball over the last 10 games but still sitting with a 9-game lead in the West.

They will host the Angels this weekend in a series that could well snap them out of their minor slump. You could really pick the Dodgers to win in any of these games and feel comfortable, but Saturday, with Tyler Glasnow on the mound, stands out for me.

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Philadelphia Phillies over Arizona Diamondbacks

Sunday, June 23, 11:35 AM, Roku | The Phillies have a comfortable 7-game lead atop the NL East, but they have been seeing that gap close over the past week or so after going 4-6 in their last 10 games. This weekend, they will host the Arizona Diamondbacks, who are 3 games below .500 in road games this season.

Despite not playing particularly well of late, the Phillies are still a tough out in their own building, going 29-11 in home games this season. I also like the pitching matchup in this one, which goes in favor of the home team.

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