Yankees vs Twins Odds, Picks and Score Predictions

The red-hot Yankees return home from a very successful road trip on Tuesday to host Minnesota as the Twins will welcome back former No. 1 overall pick Royce Lewis from a long injured list stint. The Yanks are solid favorites on the MLB odds.

Minnesota Twins Moneyline +135

The Twins have won five of seven and off a 4-3 comeback win in Houston on Sunday to take two of three from the Astros.

After allowing a total of six baserunners and three unearned runs over his last three appearances totaling 2.1 innings, Duran ran into no such trouble Sunday.

Lewis has been Minnesota’s best hitter when healthy dating back to his 2022 debut. But injuries have marred Lewis’ career to date — he’s twice torn his right ACL and this quad strain. He is a .313/.369/.564 hitter (159 wRC+) in 282 MLB career plate appearances. He also hit four homers in 26 postseason playoff appearances last year (in addition to homering in his first at-bat of the 2024 regular season).

Much has changed since Lewis was injured, with the most significant development being that Miranda established himself as not only the interim everyday third baseman, but, ultimately, too valuable of a bat to send down upon Lewis’ return.

So to make room for Lewis, the club optioned infielder Edouard Julien to Triple-A St. Paul on Monday. Julien had been mired in quite the slump — slashing just .169/.274/.181 with zero homers, five RBI and a 36/12 K/BB ratio over 95 plate appearances over his last 32 games dating back to April 28. He started the season as the every-day second baseman and leadoff hitter.

It’s Bailey Ober (5-3) on the mound Tuesday. Ober (5-3) took the loss last Wednesday versus the Royals, allowing six runs on nine hits while striking out four and walking none over five innings. Ober gave up hard contact — Nelson Velazquez hit two home runs and Salvador Perez added a solo shot and an RBI double. It was the first time since his disastrous season debut that Ober allowed multiple homers, though he has yielded seven over his last six starts. He’s at a 4.89 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 58:12 K:BB through 57 innings over 11 starts this season.

Ober has allowed six homers in two starts against the Royals this season, and four homers in nine starts against everyone else. Ober has allowed 14 runs in 6 1/3 innings in those two starts against the Royals this season, and 17 runs in 50 2/3 innings against everyone else. Ober has a 7.71 ERA in nine career starts against the Royals, and a 3.36 ERA against everyone else.

“It’s the same thing for hitters,” catcher Ryan Jeffers said of Ober’s Kansas City struggles. “Hitters have teams that they struggle with more. Some pitching staffs just pitch you well. You can’t find a rhythm. You can’t track on to what, to how they’re calling the game to you. Maybe that’s the same way with pitchers.”

The Yankees are the only American League opponent that Ober has never faced. Since April 22, the Twins have gone 26-13, the third-best record in baseball since that date behind Philadelphia and the Yankees.

New York Yankees Moneyline -166

While it has nothing to do with this game, Tuesday is a big day for the Yankees as ace and 2023 AL Cy Young winner Gerrit Cole (elbow) will make his first Minor League rehab start for Double-A Somerset. Cole could throw approximately 50 pitches. Yankees manager Aaron Boone said that Cole is expected to need at least two Minor League rehab outings before he would be ready to make his season debut.

The Yankees, who lead the AL East, won their fifth game in a row Sunday, 7-5 in San Francisco to complete the sweep despite trailing 5-3 entering the ninth. Juan Soto homered twice, including a go-ahead drive in a four-run ninth inning against All-Star closer Camilo Doval.

“That’s what he does. We’ve seen it all year long,” Aaron Judge said. “He comes up in big moments, against one of the best closers in the game, throwing it up to 102 miles an hour. I had a nice front-row seat for that one. That was impressive.”

Anthony Volpe hit an RBI triple and Giancarlo Stanton drove in a run with a ground-rule double against Doval in the ninth. Judge singled twice, walked twice and swiped a pair of bases. Judge singled off of Blake Snell in the opening inning and stole second base, but the Yankees were unable to cash him in. He also drew a walk during the Bombers’ rally in the ninth inning, swiped second base, took third on a throwing error and scored on an RBI double off the bat of Stanton.

The Yankees have won 22 of 27 games after completing a 7-2 West Coast trip.

It’s rising young star Luis Gil (7-1, 1.99 ERA) on the mound Tuesday. He got the win last Wednesday at the Angels, allowing one run on two hits and two walks while striking out nine over eight frames. Gil surrendered just one hit over the first six innings before surrendering a solo home run to Logan O’Hoppe in the seventh. The right-hander produced 15 whiffs on the night while posting at least eight strikeouts for the third consecutive outing. Gil has now logged six quality starts in a row.

“Am I fully 100 percent surprised? I’m not,” Gil said of his success. “The reason why is that it took a lot of dedication and a lot of work to get here. That’s something that I really wanted to do, to put myself in the best position possible coming in here. When you’re able to command pitches out there, really good things happen.”

Bet Twins at Yankees MLB Odds

When: Tuesday, 7:05 PM ET
Where: Yankee Stadium
Pitchers (away/home): Bailey Ober/Luis Gil
TV: TBS
Stream/gameday audio: TBS app

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You go, Juan Soto!

Congrats to @JuanSoto25_ on being named AL Player of the Week! 🙌 pic.twitter.com/0afxsiIKMd
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) June 3, 2024