Ole Miss vs #3 Auburn NCAAB Basketball Betting Favorites & Analysis

Ole Miss vs #3 Auburn | NCAAB Basketball Betting Favorites & Analysis

No. 3 Auburn was upset at Florida over the weekend, but the Tigers still control their destiny to win the SEC title as they look to avoid another upset Wednesday at home vs. Ole Miss. Auburn is a double-digit favorite on the NCAAB odds.

How to Bet Ole Miss at Auburn NCAA Basketball Odds & TV Info

  • When: Wednesday, 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: Auburn Arena
  • TV: SEC Network
  • Stream: ESPN app
  • Radio: Tunein.com
  • Opening NCAAB Lines: Auburn -16.5 (total 140.5)

Last Meeting

On Jan. 15, Auburn won at Ole Miss 80-71. Walker Kessler scored 20 points and grabbed 10 rebounds, and the Tigers rallied from an early 14-point deficit. Auburn used a 24-9 run over nine minutes — including four 3-pointers, two by Green, and three layups from Kessler — to take a commanding 71-60 lead with 4:09 remaining. After that, Ole Miss never got closer than four points. The Rebels had won 10 of the 14 previous meetings, including sweeps last season and of the 2019 Final Four team.

Wednesday night marks the 143rd all-time meeting between the Rebels and Tigers, a series that Auburn enjoys an 80-62 lead dating back to the series origin in 1928.

Why Bet on Ole Miss?

The Rebels (13-14) ended a four-game slide with an 85-68 win at awful Georgia on Saturday despite playing without their three top three scorers, Jarkel Joiner, Daeshun Ruffin and Matthew Murrell. Joiner and Murrell were sidelined with flu-like symptoms. Ruffin is out for the season after a knee injury suffered against LSU on Feb. 1. Fellow starters Nysier Brooks and Luis Rodriguez were also battling through flu-like symptoms all game long. It’s not clear who may play in this one.

After scoring the final seven points of the first half to take a 42-38 lead, the Rebels got the first four points of the second half and kept the lead, going up by as many as 20 late. Ole Miss shot 56%, made 9 of 21 from the arc and outscored Georgia 20-7 off turnovers.

The Rebs got career days from both Jaemyn Brakefield (19 points, four rebounds, one steal, 4-of-5 3PT) and Austin Crowley (18 points, five assists, three rebounds, two blocks, one steal).

On the year, Murrell is averaging 11.2 points per game, and in SEC play he averages 15.2 points (No. 8 SEC). In the first half during conference play, Murrell is averaging 8.9 points and 1.5 threes made while shooting lights-out clips of 53.9 percent overall and 47.6 from three.

Defensively, Ole Miss has held 15 of its last 21 opponents to 35 percent or lower from beyond the arc — including nine of 14 SEC foes. In the Kermit Davis era, Ole Miss is 32-18 when holding opponents to 30 percent or lower and 52-29 when holding opponents below 40 percent from deep.

A win against the 3rd-ranked Tigers would be historic on many fronts, standing as the first Rebel win over a top-five team since the 2001 SEC Tournament against No. 5 Florida (74-69). Ole Miss has never had a win over a top-five team on the road.

Why Bet on Auburn?

Auburn (24-3) had been No. 2 in the AP Top 25 but dropped one spot following a 63-62 loss at Florida on Saturday.  The Tigers had a chance in the final seconds. Wendell Green Jr. got the ball with 7.1 seconds to play and was dribbling at the top of the key when he tried to pass to Walker Kessler down low. The Gators knocked it away, and the clock ran out.

“Wendell in the middle of the floor, Walker rolling to the rim, shooters spread out,” Coach Bruce Pearl said of the play’s design.  “They covered it pretty well,” Smith said. “It just didn’t work out.”

It was Florida’s first home victory against a team ranked that high in the Associated Press college basketball poll. The Tigers lost their second straight on the road — both ending with fans rushing the floor — and dropped their first game in regulation. They previously lost to UConn and Arkansas in overtime.

Freshman Jabari Smith led Auburn with 28 points and seven rebounds, hitting 4 of 5 3-pointers and going 10-for-11 from the free-throw line. The Tigers outrebounded the Gators 22-16 in the half and 38-27 for the game.

Smith was named SEC Freshman of the Week. His 59 combined points in consecutive games are the most by a Tiger since Marquis Daniels (59 points) in 2002-03. His marksmanship from beyond the arc over the course of the last two games (11 3-pointers) is the fifth time in the last five years an Auburn player has made 11-or-more three pointers. Smith averages 16.3 points (No. 7 SEC), 6.7 rebounds, 1.7 assists, 1.3 steals and 1.0 blocks per game while shooting 43.8 percent overall, 43.3 percent from three and 79.7 percent from the free throw line.

Auburn leads the NCAA in blocks per game (8.2), while ranking second in the SEC and 13th nationally at an opposing field goal clip of just 38.4 percent.

Expert Prediction

  • Auburn 82, Ole Miss 65
 
 

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