College Football Lines: USC vs LSU Odds, Pick

2024 College Football Week 1 Modelo Vegas Kickoff Classic: USC vs LSU Pick
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2024 Modelo Vegas Kickoff Classic | Sunday, September 1st, 2024 at 7:30 PM – ABC, ESPN2 | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV

Writer’s Pick for the College Game

Life without Williams

Head coach Lincoln Riley is steering the Trojans into a new chapter, aiming to replace the production of last season’s star quarterback and first overall NFL Draft pick, Caleb Williams.

The starting quarterback position is projected to be filled by Miller Moss, who will take the reins over Jayden Maiava.

Moss, who served as a backup to Williams last season, accumulated 681 passing yards and seven touchdowns in limited playing time.

Moss will have a talented group of young receivers to target, including sophomores Duce Robinson, Ja’Kobi Lane, and Zachariah Branch.

These receivers are expected to step up in place of last year’s leading duo, Tahj Washington and Brenden Rice, who combined for 20 touchdowns.

In the backfield, Woody Marks will lead the Trojans’ rushing attack, with Quinten Joyner positioned as his primary backup.

Marks, a transfer from Mississippi State, rushed 121 times last season but only found the end zone twice.

He wrapped up his time with the Bulldogs with a 39-yard performance in the Egg Bowl against Ole Miss.

Season of Change for Tigers

Brian Kelly, entering his second season as head coach of the Tigers, will be relying on some new faces to maintain the offensive momentum.

Wide receiver CJ Daniels, a transfer, is the only new starter on offense and will join returning wideouts Chris Hilton Jr. and Kyren Lacy.

Lacy finished third on the team in receiving yards last season with 558, trailing only Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr.

Running back Josh Williams is set to be the starter, with Kaleb Jackson serving as his backup.

Williams, who recorded 55 carries and five touchdowns last season, will look to establish himself early.

Last NCAAF season, quarterback Jayden Daniels and running back Logan Diggs carried much of the rushing load, combining for over 250 carries.

Taking over under center for LSU will be Garrett Nussmeier.

The Lake Charles native showed promise last season, throwing for 591 yards and four touchdowns.

Notably, 395 of those yards came during the bowl game win over Wisconsin, where he threw for three touchdowns, showcasing his potential to lead the Tigers’ offense.

USC vs LSU Final Betting Pick | Tigers Win in Vegas

In a game featuring two teams with new starting quarterbacks, the result will likely depend on which team can adapt quickest to their fresh offensive dynamics.

While LSU is the favored team, USC’s athleticism and potential home-field advantage with a strong fan presence in Las Vegas will make this a very interesting game.

Both teams have talented rosters, but also both teams have new blood in their lineup.

This game is going to be a good one, but in the end, we like the Tigers, and their defensive front a little more.

We will take the LSU Tigers -4 to win this game on Sunday!

USC vs LSU Betting Trends:

USC Trojans Betting Trends:

Recent Performance:
USC has covered the spread in 60% of their games against top-25 opponents over the last two seasons.
Covering the Spread:
USC has covered the spread in 70% of their games as a favorite of 3-7 points in the past two years.
Over/Under Trends:
USC games have generally gone over the total points in 65% of their games when playing against teams with a top-25 ranking in recent years.

LSU Tigers Betting Trends:

Covering the Spread:
LSU has covered the spread in 55% of their games as an underdog in the past two years.
Over/Under Trends:
LSU games have hit the over in 60% of their games when matched up against teams with high-powered offenses like USC in recent years.

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Miller Moss hype train takes off this weekend vs LSU 🚂

(@SSN_USC / @FightOnRusty)
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— SleeperCFB (@SleeperCFB) August 28, 2024