Oregon State vs #11 Oregon

NCAAF: Oregon State vs #11 Oregon | Game Preview and Betting Odds

It’s one of the most important Civil War games in the history of the Oregon StateOregon college football rivalry as a spot in the Pac-12 Championship is at stake for the winner (OSU also needs a bit of help) Saturday. The Ducks are TD favorites on the NCAAF college football odds.

How to Bet Oregon State at Oregon NCAA Football Odds & TV Info

  • When: Saturday, 3:30 PM ET
  • Where: Autzen Stadium
  • TV: ESPN
  • Stream: ESPN app
  • Radio: Tunein.com
  • Opening NCAAF Lines: Oregon -7 (total 60.5)

Last Season

Oregon State upset Oregon 41-38 last year. Then-backup Beavers QB Chance Nolan scored on a 1-yard, fourth-down run with 33 seconds left. Jermar Jefferson ran for 226 yards and two touchdowns. Tyler Shough threw for 266 yards and two touchdowns, but also had two interceptions, for Oregon. The Ducks lead the all-time series, 66-48-10. Oregon has won 11 of the last 13 games and hold a 33-21-6 lead in games played in Autzen. UO has not lost to OSU in Eugene since 12/1/07 (38-31, OT). Oregon has not lost back-to-back meetings since 2006-07

Why Bet on Oregon State?

Oregon State will win the Pac-12 North with a victory against Oregon in their rivalry game combined with a Washington State loss to Washington in the Apple Cup on Friday. Washington State will win the Pac-12 North with a victory against Washington in the Apple Cup, combined with an Oregon State win against Oregon.

Oregon State upset Arizona State 24-10 last week. Oregon State rushed for 235 yards, led by B.J. Baylor with 150 yards on the ground. Jack Colletto ran for 57 yards, including a 47-yard touchdown. Chance Nolan completed eight of his 12 passes and accounted for a pair of touchdowns – one on the ground and one through the air.

Baylor moved to 18th in Oregon State history with 1,580 career yards on the ground. It marked Baylor’s sixth 100+ yard rushing game of the season. Baylor is third in the Pac-12 and is tied for 23rd nationally with 12 rushing touchdowns.

Everett Hayes knocked through a 52-yard first quarter field goal, his second 50+ yard make of the season. Hayes is the first Beaver kicker with multiple makes of 50 or more yards in a season since Alexis Serna accomplished the feat in 2007. The Beavers finished the 2021 home season with a 6-0 record for just the second time in school history, joining OSU’s 2000 team.

The Oregon State defense has combined to limit Stanford and Arizona State to 496 yards of total offense over the last two games. The defense held Stanford to 230 yards and Arizona State to 266. Those are the two lowest total offensive outputs by Pac-12 teams against the Beavers during head coach Jonathan Smith’s tenure at Oregon State. The OSU defense has also forced the Cardinal and Sun Devils to commit four turnovers over the two games, three via interception.

Oregon State linebacker Avery Roberts continues his Pac-12 leading season with 115 tackles, which is sixth in the nation. Roberts is the only Pac-12 player averaging better than nine tackles per game. He is one of just eight nationally averaging 10 or more per game.

Why Bet on Oregon?

It’s pretty simple for the Ducks: They win the Pac-12 North with a victory. That way, they’d get Pac-12 title game rematch of last week’s 38-7 loss at Utah that ended the Ducks’ College Football Playoff hopes.

After rushing for at least 250 yards in each of the previous three games, Oregon managed just 63 against the Utes on Saturday. The UO defense struggled to get off the field, allowing Utah to convert 11-of-14 third-down chances, while the Ducks’ own offense was 6-of-14 on third down and was flagged for some untimely penalties that spoiled drives. Oregon also was unable to convert two field-goal attempts, one of which was blocked, and the Ducks allowed a punt return for a touchdown on the final play of the first half, putting them in a 28-0 hole.

Travis Dye, who came into the night leading the Pac-12 in yards from scrimmage, was held to 29 yards on six rushes, and a single reception for six yards. Dye needs 63 more rushing yards to reach 1,000 in a season for the first time in his career.

“Obviously a disappointing night for us, in many ways,” UO coach Mario Cristobal said. “… There’s a lot to play for; a lot of our goals are still ahead of us, and we’ve got to get ready for them quickly by going back to work. Because they ain’t going to fix themselves.”

A win here would send Oregon to a third straight Pac-12 Championship Game and secure the 12th 10-win season in program history, and second under Cristobal. It would give UO a perfect 7-0 record at home, its third straight undefeated home season and seventh since 2000.

Oregon has won 18 consecutive games at home, the third-longest active home win streak in the nation. The Ducks are 21-1 at home under head Cristobal since the start of the 2018 season, including a 14-1 record in conference home games. This year, Oregon is averaging 39.0 points per game at home while holding opponents to just 20.0 points per contest. UO’s 39.0 points per game at home ranks No. 1 in the Pac-12 and tied for 21st in the nation.

Game Trends

  • Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
  • Beavers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
  • Beavers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
  • Ducks are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Ducks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
  • Beavers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Oregon.

Expert Prediction

  • Oregon 30, Oregon State 23

 

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