This is one of the biggest weeks in college football for a couple of different reasons. First of all, its Rivalry Week in college football, so expect to see some huge matchups with a little bit of healthy hate sprinkled in for good measure. Perhaps more importantly, though, it is the final game of the regular season, which means that it will be the last throw of the dice for teams looking to get into the Conference Championship Game and the playoffs. Unfortunately for these two teams, those dreams have passed for another season, but both will still be looking to close out strong and get themselves into the best bowl game possible. The bookies have this one as a tight game, with the Nittany Lions in as a 1 ½ point road favorite. The point total for this game is set at 52. With that in mind, let’s take a look at our College Football Betting analysis for the upcoming match between the Penn State Nittany Lions and the Michigan State Spartans.
Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan State Week 13 Preview | College Football Betting Analysis
Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan State Spartans Game Info
- When: Saturday, November 27 at 3:30 PM EST
- Where: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing
- TV: ABC
Why bet on the Penn State Nittany Lions
After a strong 5-0 start to the season, the wheels began to come off rather quickly for Penn State once they got deep into the Big Ten Conference schedule. It is, as always, a tough conference to navigate, as seen by the fact that we still don’t know who will be in the Conference Championship Game next weekend. The Nittany Lions went on a run that saw them lose 4 of 5, but they did bounce back with a win over Rutgers last weekend. Covering the 14-point spread and winning without breaking too much of a sweat. While they may not have been a great SU pick the past few weeks, Penn State has been money against the spread, going 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. They have also covered in 7 of their last 8 versus teams from the East Division. The UNDER has hit in 12 of their last 14 road games.
Why bet on the Michigan State Spartans
If you want to see how quickly fortunes can change and dreams can be crushed in college football, look no further than the Michigan State Spartans this season. They took control of their own destiny with a massive win over previously unbeaten Michigan a few weeks back, making their way into the top 4 with that win. It was short-lived, though, as they lost a shocker to Purdue in the following week and are now coming off a thumping at the hands of Ohio State. You do now have to wonder about the mental state of this team after going from playoff contender to not even being in the Conference Championship Game conversation anymore. On the bright side, they are on a 5-game win streak at home and have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games. 8 of their last 10 home games versus Penn State have gone OVER the point total.
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction
This is one of those matchups that might well come down to who gets the ball last. The bookies have this one close for a reason, as it is tough to call. The play that I like here is the OVER, although I might also be willing to take Penn State to win and cover.
Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions 31 Michigan State Spartans 28