Clinching a playoff spot as quickly as possible is always great, but it can also create a whole new set of problems and decisions to be made. Do you take the opportunity to rest some key players in preparation for the battles that lie ahead, knowing that doing so can mean killing the momentum that you have built up over the course of a season? The Chicago Bears have clinched the NFC North and are already part of the playoffs, so they will have this decision to make this weekend against the San Francisco 49ers.
The thing with the Bears is that while they can still get into one of the top two spots for a first-round bye, it does look as though they are going to be in the #3 spot. My guess is that they put everyone out there this week in an effort to make a push for one of those spots, before deciding what to do in the final week of the season. The Bears will head west as a 4 ½ point favorite for this one, with the point total set at 43.
Covering in those last 2 games means that they are now 5-5 ATS when hit with the underdog label, although that improves to 3-1 ATS when the 49ers are in as the underdog on home field. The OVER has hit in 4 of the last 6 49ers games this season, as well as in 4 of their 7 home games.
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Bears at 49ers NFL Week 16 Spread & Pick
- When: Sunday, December 23 at 4:05 PM EST
- Where: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara
- TV: FOX
- Radio: SiriusXM/NFL
Weather Forecast
- Partly Cloudy: 15°C/59°F
- Humidity: 68%
- Precipitation: 13%
- Cloud Cover: 35%
- Wind: 7 mph NNW
- Stadium Type: Open
Why bet on the Chicago Bears?
With their win over the Green Bay Packers last week, the Chicago Bears improved t0 10-4 on the season, clinching the division crown in the process. It has been a fantastic run of form for the Bears, as they have now won 7 of their last 8 games, doing so while their starting QB, Mitch Trubisky, was sidelined for a few weeks. This is a team that is built from the defense up, though, so they are able to get wins when the offense isn’t exactly firing on all cylinders. Chicago has proven to be a fantastic bet as the favorite this season, going 8-3 ATS in those games, although they are not as impressive on the road, going 2-3 ATS as a road favorite. Given how well the Bears defense has played, it may be a surprise to learn that the OVER has hit in 6 of their last 10 games. The OVER has come up in 4 of their 6 road games.Team Stats
Offense- Average Score For: 27.36
- Total Yards: 345.85
- Rush Yards: 119.71
- Passing Yards: 226.14
- Average Score For: 18.86
- Total Yards: 310.86
- Rush Yards: 83.50
- Passing Yards: 227.36
Why bet on the San Francisco 49ers?
A season that began with a lot of hype has very quickly fizzled out, with the early season loss of QB Jimmy Garoppolo for the year being the final nail in the coffin for the 49ers. That said, this team is showing some signs of life in the waning weekends of the season, as they have now won back to back games, both of which they started as the underdog.
Team Stats
Offense- Average Score For: 21.50
- Total Yards: 364.22
- Rush Yards: 123.43
- Passing Yards: 240.79
- Average Score For: 26.64
- Total Yards: 345.43
- Rush Yards: 112.07
- Passing Yards: 233.36
Bears at 49ers NFL Week 16 Betting Trends
- Chicago is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing San Francisco
- Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago’s last 6 games on the road
- San Francisco is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games at home
- San Francisco is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco’s last 9 games at home
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Bears at 49ers
This has the potential to be a bit of a letdown game for the Bears, but this is a team that will want to head into the postseason on a positive run of form. I will bet on Chicago to win and cover, and I also like the OVER. Score: Chicago Bears 26 – San Francisco 49ers 20MyBookie NFL
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