Bills at Jets NFL Week 10 Lines & Expert Prediction

The New York Jets host AFC East rival Buffalo in NFL Week 10 as a big time -7.5 favorite. NYJ hopes to grab another victory while the Bills hope that they get decent play from the quarterback position. Which team takes it in what should be an entertaining AFC throw down on Sunday?

Bills at Jets NFL Week 10 Lines & Expert Prediction

When: Sunday, Nov. 11 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
TV: CBS
Over/Under Total Odds: 36.5 (-110)

Weather Forecast

Partly Cloudy: 7^°C/44^°F
Humidity: 41%
Precipitation: 0%
Wind: 9 mph W
Cloud Cover: 30%
Type of Stadium: Open

Why Buffalo Bills are a good bet at +7.5?

Although Buffalo’s offense is a mess, it only averages 10.7 points per, the Bills defense is actually decent. Buffalo ranks 3^rd in the NFL in passing yards allowed. Teams average 212 yards against Buffalo’s defense.

Overall, the Bills rank 3^rd in total yards allowed. Opponents only average 313.7 total yards. If starting quarterback Nathan Peterman can protect the football, he’s thrown 7 interceptions in only 4 games played, Buffalo could keep this one closer than 8 points.

Team Statistics

Offense:

Average Score For: 13.8
Total Yards: 233.2
Pass Yards: 165.8
Rush Yards: 67.5

Defense:

Average Score Against: 24.9
Total Yards: 367.8
Pass Yards: 224.6
Rush Yards: 143.1

Why New York Jets are a good bet at -7.5?

Are the Jets a safe bet for NFL Week 10?

The Jets are 3-6 both straight up and against the spread, but they’ve gone 2-2 against the spread at home. NYJ counters any defensive flaws in this matchup because they battle one of the worst, most horrible, offenses in NFL history.

Although Buffalo’s defense is good, Jets quarterback Sam Darnold has excelled in 2-of-4 home games. He played to a 98.1 quarterback rating in a win over the Denver Broncos in Week 5. In Week 6, he played to a 113.9 quarterback rating in a win over the Indianapolis Colts.

If the good Darnold shows up, the Jets should beat the Bills by at least 14 points.

Team Statistics

Offense:

Average Score For: 10.7
Total Yards: 248.3
Pass Yards: 151.1
Rush Yards: 97.2

Defense:

Average Score Against: 26.8
Total Yards: 313.7
Pass Yards: 212
Rush Yards: 101.7

NFL Football Betting Trends for Buffalo Bills at New York Jets

Bills are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a losing home record
Bills are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 versus the AFC East
Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 at home versus a team with a losing road record
Jets are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games

Bills at Jets Final NFL Betting Analysis

The Bills will start quarterback Derek Anderson if rookie Josh Allen can’t go. Allen’s been upgraded from doubtful to questionable due to an elbow injury. He should suit up for this game on Sunday.

If he does, the Bills have a shot to not only cover, but to also beat the Jets straight up. Because Allen’s expected to play, Buffalo’s the team to back. Even if Allen doesn’t go, Derek Anderson should provide enough of a lift to keep this one closer than the spread.

NFL Football Week 10 Pick: Buffalo Bills +7.5