Super Bowl Contenders or Overhyped? Bills’ NFL Odds and Props for the Season

The Buffalo Bills made a big move in the off-season trading one of the elite receivers in all of the National Football League.  That certainly was not the only move of the Buffalo Bills off-season.

Before we get into the off-season trades, what we have here is a breakdown of the Buffalo Bills season and their NFL odds, betting props, and picks for the season. So keep on reading for more insights.

Do the Bills Have What it Takes to Win Super Bowl? | MyBookie NFL Betting Analysis for the Whole Season: Players and Team

Bills Season | 55th in the National Football League | 8th under head coach Sean McDermott
2023: 11–6 record / 1st AFC East

Buffalo Bills Off-Season Moves

Here are some of the other moves this team made in the offseason:

In what has become a familiar refrain in the Josh Allen era, the Buffalo Bills head into a new NFL Season with elevated expectations after falling short in the previous year. Buffalo again offers low odds to win the AFC East, the AFC, and the Super Bowl. Is this the season that Josh Allen and his mates finally get it done?

Keep reading for a Buffalo Bills season odds prop rundown, complete with analysis and predictions.

The Stefon Diggs trade to Houston came after the signing of Curtis Samuel. Samuel signed for three years, $24M.

He will now be with Khalil Shakir and Mack Hollins, who the Bills also recently signed. Buffalo has always been high on Samuel, and now he gets his chance with Josh Allen. 

Cornerback Taron Johnson was a big re-signing for the Bills. Buffalo lost other key members of the secondary to free agency, but they were excited to have a guy that has been one of the top performers at that position.

Also in the secondary, Cam Lewis was signed as a pretty  safe move for the 27 year old. 

Defensive tackle DaQuan Jones is now with the Bills.

This was a massive signing for the Bills. The Bills only had Ed Oliver and Eli Ankou here before this one. While he has been injury prone, and is 32, the talent with this guy is massive, and should help the defense.  Left tackle Dion Dawkins signed an extension with the Bills to keep him the starter. 

Now, the Buffalo Bills are looking to remain contenders in the National Football League. Let’s take a look at the Buffalo Bills season odds, with a season rundown here:

Reach the Postseason: YES -215

Now, we do not love these types of numbers. There are no sure fire bets in the National FootbalL League, but this seems like one to take your money and run. The New York Jets or New England Patriots are not going to contend in the division. Will the Miami Dolphins? Probably, but is there not room for two AFC East teams in the postseason? The AFC is pretty talented, but so are the Bills. Taking the YES at -215 would be one of your safest bets to win this season.

To Make the NFL Playoffs
Bills Playoff Odds: YES -215 | To Make the NFL Playoffs
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Title

Buffalo Bills Win Total: 10.5

The Buffalo Bills made a great run at the end of last season and got into the postseason, and many thought they were poised to make a deep run. Sure, no Diggs, and that will change the offense a little, but many think that will help Josh Allen settle in a little.

We already know that Allen is talented, and has pieces around him. The AFC East had four very winnable games with the Jets and Patriots.

The Buffalo Bills do have to play a first place schedule, but they are not afraid of anyone. Playing games in Buffalo late in the season is a huge advantage that they get.

This seems like a good bet to make to bet on the OVER. This goes right along with making the postseason.

If you think the Bills make the playoffs, you likely think the Bills are going to go OVER the 10.5 win mark.

Betting on the over/under for total wins is a popular NFL prop bet.

The Bills have a high bar set for them this season. A total of 10.5 wins suggests Buffalo can challenge Kansas City, Cincinnati, Baltimore, and Miami for the top seed in the AFC playoffs.

On paper, the Bills have the potential. However, a key change at wide receiver might cause some trouble.

Rookie Keon Coleman, while exceptionally skilled and a future NFL star, will need time to adjust. Allen’s transition from veteran Stefon Diggs to Coleman could lead to early struggles. A slow start with potential losses in the first six games makes the over a risky bet.

2025 Regular Season Wins
Bills RSW Odds: Over 10.5 | Online Regular Season Win Odds
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Title

QB Josh Allen to win NFL MVP +800

Allen is one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL. But the odds are extremely low. Also, the idea in Buffalo is to take pressure off of Allen, not to add more pressure.

The offense is likely to feature running back James Cook. That should lead to Buffalo fielding a more efficient offense.

It won’t help Allen pad the stats, not that Josh cares. If the Bills can take pressure off of Allen enough, he won’t be as tired in the playoffs as he has been the past few seasons. Going against Allen to win the NFL MVP is the play.

2025 NFL MVP
Bet Allen to win NFL MVP: No | Current MVP Odds
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Props

WR Keon Coleman to Win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year +2600

Coleman has something going in his favor. The Bills drafted Coleman to replace their 2023 WR1, Stefon Diggs. Starting on Day 1 at training camp, Allen is going to work Keon Coleman heavily.

So even if the former Florida State wide receiver struggles early, and he might considering how brutal four of the first six games project to be, Keon could have a fantastic second half of the season.

The odds make the FSU receiver an overlay for sure. Back Coleman if you’re spreading around your prop money because Allen is going to target the rookie in every game.

2025 Offensive Rookie
Bet Coleman to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year: Yes | Current NFL Rookie Odds
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Props

Odds to Win the AFC East +160

It really comes down to, are you ready to trust the Miami Dolphins to put a stretch of 17 games together and win the AFC East? The New York Jets have Aaron Rodgers, but is anyone scared of that?

The New England Patriots are going to be one of the worst teams in the National Football League. If you think the Buffalo Bills can outlast the Miami Dolphins, getting the Bills at +160 seems like a steal. The Buffalo Bills have shown they are a really good regular season team, and we do not expect that to change in 2024.

It’s interesting how certain props don’t affect the odds when it comes to other props.

For example, the total on Buffalo is 10.5 games and the under offers a solid favorite’s -150 payout. Somehow, though, the Bills are favored to win the deep AFC East where three of the four teams, the Patriots being the odd team out, can take the division title.

At the odds, the Bills are a bad play because Miami and the Jets have as much of a shot, if not a slightly better chance, of winning the AFC East.

2025 AFC East
Bills to Win the AFC East: No +160 | Current AFC East Odds
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Title

Buffalo Bills Odds to Win the AFC +700

The Buffalo Bills are up against the Kansas City Chiefs, Cincinnati Bengals, Baltimore Ravens, Houston Texans and Miami Dolphins when it comes to winning the AFC. And that does not include a team or two that no one expected to be really good giving a great season effort and competing.

We would like to see this number a little higher than 7/1. The Buffalo Bills are good, but there are a ton of teams that can win the AFC. Look to see if this number moves at all. If it moves in the direction for a better pay-out, get ready to consider it.

+750 on the Buffalo Bills to win the AFC constitute underlay odds.

Baltimore and Kansas City will be difficult to beat. Cincinnati should also be tough if Joe Burrow remains healthy through the season. If Aaron Rodgers stays healthy, the Jets will make the playoffs in some capacity.

Save for Lamar in Baltimore, the quarterbacks for the Chiefs, Bengals, and Jets have all led their teams to the Super Bowl.

Allen has yet to do so. Don’t back the Bills at +750 to win the AFC.

2025 AFC Conference
Bills Odds: No +700 | Current AFC Conference Odds
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Title

Super Bowl Champion Buffalo Bills +1200

This is much like we just talked about for the AFC. We like this Buffalo Bills team.

We like their chances of being a really good football team. But, when push comes to shove, we do not love the 12/1 odds to win the Super Bowl.

The National Football League has several teams with a chance to really put things together and win it all. While Buffalo is definitely one of those, there are a number of questions we would like to see answered here. While 12/1 certainly is not an awful number, and if you are confident in the Bills, take a shot, we just would like to see a higher number for the Buffalo Bills.

Buffalo will be a decent team, but if the Bills couldn’t get it done in the past couple of seasons, why will 2024-2025 be any different? The problem with backing Buffalo is that they tend to play poorly towards the end of the season and into the playoffs. Josh Allen gives it his all every game.

He’s such a warrior that he plays the first game of the season like it’s a playoff game. Buffalo relies so much on their quarterback that he doesn’t have the legs once the Bills make the playoffs.

This season won’t be much different. Even though the Bills may want to feature Cook and the rushing attack, Allen doesn’t play that way.

So, eventually, the fantastic quarterback will start taking over games.

Buffalo will struggle to make the playoffs. Also, again, the AFC is plenty deep with talent in every division. Backing the Bills to win the Super Bowl is a bad bet.

2025 Super Bowl
Bills Odds: No +1200 | Super Bowl Odds to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Title

Bills Run in the Next NFL Season

There you have it. The Buffalo Bills are going to be a fun team to watch all season long. They have had talent for several seasons now, and just have not put it all together to make a Super Bowl run. The Kansas City Chiefs have been in the way more times than not. Can Buffalo break out this season and get to where the fans are dying for them to go to? That is a look at our Buffalo Bills 2024 season rundown. Enjoy the offseason and good luck with all your NFL bets for the season!

Odds to Win 2024 AFC Championship

2024 NFL Season | Buffalo Bills
MyBookie betting lines for the NFL team based in the Buffalo–Niagara Falls metropolitan area.

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