Chiefs at Browns NFL Week 9 Lines & Betting Preview

Fresh off their first against the spread loss this season, the Kansas City Chiefs head to Cleveland to face the Browns as a massive favorite against the spread. Cleveland has a new head coach. Will the Browns and their new HC take it to KC, or will the Chiefs dominate like they’ve done so many times already in 2018?

Chiefs at Browns NFL Week 9 Lines & Betting Preview

When: Sunday, Nov. 4 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
TV: CBS
Over/Under Total Odds: Total 51.5 (-110)

Weather Forecast

Overcast: 11^°C/52^°F
Humidity: 62%
Precipitation: 15%
Wind: 14 mph SSE
Cloud Cover: 88%
Type of Stadium: Open

Why Kansas City Chiefs are a good bet at -8?

Chiefs were on their way to another cover against the spread until Denver’s Brandon McManus hit a field goal with less than 2 minutes on the clock. The Broncos had to kick the field goal to give them any shot at beating the Chiefs straight up.

Kansas City had run out to a 30-20 lead, which means without the field goal, the Chiefs would have covered their eighth straight. When teams face the Chiefs they must contain quarterback Patrick Mahomes and KC’s rushing attack. Cleveland won’t have success against either, much less one.

Team Statistics

Offense:

Average Score For: 36.2
Total Yards: 425.2
Pass Yards: 310.4
Rush Yards: 114.9

Defense:

Average Score Against: 25.6
Total Yards: 432.4
Pass Yards: 304.8
Rush Yards: 127.6

Why Cleveland Browns are a good bet at +8?

Are the Browns a safe bet for NFL Week 9?

The Browns fired both head coach Hue Jackson and offensive coordinator Todd Haley on Monday after Cleveland lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers. GM John Dorsey told Jackson that the team had quit on him. But, they didn’t back Haley, either.

Change can be a good thing for an NFL organization. The man in charge right now is former Saints’ defense coordinator Gregg Williams. Williams led the Saints’ defense in the 2010 Super Bowl Season. He’ll rush the ball much more on Sunday, protecting quarterback Baker Mayfield, and play an aggressive defense. That could lead to a surprise Browns’ cover.

Team Statistics

Offense:

Average Score For: 21.1
Total Yards: 342.4
Pass Yards: 215
Rush Yards: 127.4

Defense:

Average Score Against: 26.2
Total Yards: 414.5
Pass Yards: 275.6
Rush Yards: 138.9

Chiefs at Browns NFL Week 9 Betting Trends

Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games
Cleveland is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
Cleveland is 2-22-1 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland’s last 17 games at home

Final NFL Betting Analysis for Chiefs at Browns

Although almost every NFL handicapper on the planet likes Kansas City in this spot, things aren’t as awful for the Browns as so many might believe. Cleveland’s defense has been awful, but mainly that’s because it’s been put in terrible situations.

The Browns could pressure Mahomes enough to force at least two bad throws. If Cleveland capitalizes, they might force Patrick into an interception. On offense, Cleveland averages 127.4 rushing yards per. They could control the clock and put Mayfield into situations where he can be successful.

Browns shouldn’t win on Sunday although I can’t argue against anyone looking to score on the moneyline. They could surprise KC backers and cover the spread, though. I’m taking the points.

NFL Football Week 9 Pick: Cleveland Browns +8