Falcons vs Packers NFL Week 14 Spread & Game Prediction

Aaron Rodgers and the reeling Green Bay Packers will look to hold down the fort at home when they host Matt Ryan and the equally struggling Atlanta Falcons in a week 14 matchup of teams that have seen their postseason hopes evaporate the last few weeks.

Now, with both of these teams completely and utterly desperate for a win, let’s find out who’s going to get it.

Falcons vs Packers NFL Week 14 Spread & Game Prediction

When: Sunday, December 9, 2018 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
TV: FOX

Weather Forecast

Clear: -5^°C/23^°F
Humidity: 66%
Precipitation: 4%
Wind: 8 mph W
Cloud Cover: 10%
Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On The Falcons?

Why should you consider betting on Atlanta in this week 14 pairing? Well, the best reason is because they’ve pretty much owned the Packers in recent meetings – not to mention, they’re completely desperate.

The Falcons have lost four consecutive games including their humbling 26-15 beatdown loss against Baltimore on Sunday. Veteran quarterback Matt Ryan passed for just 131 yards with one touchdown, but lost a costly fumble that was returned for a touchdown and Atlanta was limited to just six second half points in a game they never really had a chance in.

“We never really got anything going,” Ryan said. “That makes it tough when you really are not moving it and you’re letting them kind of dictate the game. That’s a tough pill to swallow.”

Team Statistics

Offense:

Average Score For: 24.67
Total Yards: 377.50
Pass Yards: 298.50
Rush Yards: 79

Defense:

Average Score Against: 27.75
Total Yards: 394.33
Pass Yards: 263.50
Rush Yards: 130.83

Why Bet On The Packers?

Are the Packers a safe bet for NFL Week 14?

Why should you bet on the Packers in Week 14? The best reason is that the Packers are playing at home and they’ll have a new voice after firing head coach Mike McCarthy following last week’s disturbing loss.

Green Bay has dropped three in a row and five of their last six games overall including their stunning 20-17 home loss against the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday. Aaron Rodgers passed for 233 yards and one touchdown, but the Packers were limited to just seven second half points. Kicker Mason Crosby missed a potential game-tying field goal in the loss, which eventually cost longtime head coach Mike McCarthy his job by the time Monday morning rolled around.

“Like any relationship we’ve had amazing times and times when we butt heads,” Rodgers said when asked about his relationship with his former head coach. “We accomplished a lot together.”

Team Statistics

Offense:

Average Score For: 23.42
Total Yards: 380.67
Pass Yards: 274.92
Rush Yards: 105.75

Defense:

Average Score Against: 23.92
Total Yards: 351.83
Pass Yards: 224
Rush Yards: 127.83

Falcons vs Packers NFL Week 14 Betting Trends

Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in the last 5 games
The total went UNDER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games
Green Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 games
Green Bay is 1-5 SU in the last 6 games
The total went UNDER in 5 of Green Bay’s last 6 games

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Falcons vs Packers

The Packers are in such a bad way that I’m stunned they’re favored by almost a touchdown over Atlanta in this contest. Still, I’m going to advise you to back the Falcons to get the ATS cover – by recording the outright win.

Atlanta has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games in Week 14 while Green Bay has gone 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an SU loss while also going 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games against their NFC counterparts. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Green Bay and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings overall while the road team in this series has gone 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Atlanta covers the chalk in something of a shootout.

NFL Week 14 Pick: Atlanta 28 Green Bay 27