If you’re an NFL gridiron gambler that loves to bet on the Over/Under Total, then you’re going to love this expert betting analysis on the O/U Total pick surrounding this weekend’s quickly approaching AFC divisional showdown between the Kansas City Chiefs and New England Patriots.
With the two Super Bowl hopefuls set to square off on Saturday, January 16 at 4:35 PM ET, live from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts, let’s find out what the right O/U pick for this contest is.
How To Bet The Kansas City Chiefs Vs New England Patriots NFL Divisional Playoff Odds & TV Info
What: Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots
When: 4:35 PM ET, Saturday, January 16, 2016
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
NFL Odds: New England -5
Over/Under: 43
This AFC divisional game’s Over/Under total is sitting at 43 after opening at 44.5.
Kansas City Chiefs Influence On Game Totals
The Kansas City Chiefs (8-8-1 O/U) ranked third in points allowed (17.9 ppg) and ninth in scoring (25.3 ppg) which is the main reason why they own a dead-even Over/Under record coming into their AFC divisional date against New England.
The Chiefs have played Under the O/U Total in three straight games and four of their last five games, mostly because they held each of their last five foes to 17 points or less, while holding two of those to three points or less, including Houston, who they shut out 30-0 in their AFC wild card matchup last weekend.
Kansas City is 4-5-1 O/U over their last 10 games and has not allowed more than 22 points in any of their last 10 games while fielding a stellar defense that ranked in the top 10 in all four major defensive statistical categories.
New England Patriots Influence On Game Totals
New England (9-7 O/U) has played Over the O/U total in half of their last four games while going 4-2 O/U over their last half-dozen games overall and a dead-even 5-5 O/U over their last 10 games.
The Patriots finished the regular season ranked a fantastic third in scoring (29.1 ppg) and a solid 10th in points allowed (19.7 ppg). Unfortunately, the Pats have given up 26 points or more in three of their last four losses including defeats against lowly Philadelphia and their AFC East division rivals, the New York Jets. New England allowed 23 points or more in eight of their nine over outcomes this season.
The New England Patriots haven’t been stellar this season, still they are favorites to bring home the Championship.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
The Under is 4-1 in Kansas City’s last five games overall, an identical 4-1 in their last five games against their AFC counterparts and 5-2 in their L/7 playoff games.
The Over is 5-0-1 in New England’s last six divisional playoffs games and 4-1 in the Pats’ last five home playoff games.
With these two teams throwing out mixed signals as far as the Over/Under outcome is concerned, I believe New England’s long-term O/U trends are much more of a legitimate barometer of what will take place in this contest.
With the Over going 38-18 in New England’s last 56 games against a team with a winning record and 39-19 in their last 58 home games, I believe the Over will narrowly play out in this contest.
My Final score prediction is…Over the 43-point Over/Under Total
