NFL Game Lines: Betting Chiefs vs Bills Pick for Week 11 Showdown

The highly anticipated NFL game lines for the 2024 NFL Week 11 matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills are generating plenty of buzz, as these two powerhouse teams face off in what promises to be one of the most thrilling games of the season. With both teams boasting dynamic quarterbacks and explosive offenses, this game could have major playoff implications.

Betting Chiefs vs Bills Pick for the 2024 NFL Week 11
NFL Week 11 Fever: Don’t Miss Out on the Betting Action

2024 NFL Season | 104th season of National League in the United States
Week 11: Thursday, November 21st – Monday, November 11th, 2024

Betting 2024 Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills Week 11 Game

The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills are set to face off in one of the most anticipated games of the NFL season.

This matchup has become a must-watch rivalry over the past few years, featuring two of the league’s best teams and two of its most dynamic quarterbacks.

Both teams have playoff aspirations, but this game could have an even bigger impact as it pits two top contenders against each other.

For Kansas City, this is another chance to prove why they remain the team to beat, as they aim to continue their undefeated streak.

For Buffalo, it’s a chance to show they can compete with the best and take control of the AFC.

With Patrick Mahomes leading the Chiefs and Josh Allen spearheading the Bills, fans can expect another exciting chapter in what has become one of the NFL’s most thrilling rivalries.

This game also represents a chance for Buffalo to get some redemption after being eliminated by Kansas City in the playoffs multiple times.

A win here would not only boost their confidence but also serve as a statement to the rest of the league.

Let’s dive into what makes this matchup so compelling.

NFL Week 11: Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) vs. Buffalo Bills (8-2)
Sunday, November 17th, 2024 at 4:25 PM EST CBS | Highmark Stadium, Buffalo, NY

ATS Odds: Buffalo -2
Money line Odds: Chiefs +110, Bills -135
Over/Under Odds: 45.5

Writer’s Breakdown and Pick for the Chiefs vs Bills Game

Kansas City’s Perfect Season

The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game with a perfect 9-0 record, a feat that few teams achieve in the NFL. (Which NFL Teams that Will Win 10 Games in the Season)

Their ability to win in close games has been a defining characteristic of their season.

The Chiefs have faced adversity in multiple matchups, yet they always find a way to come out on top, whether through a last-second field goal or a big defensive stop.

Patrick Mahomes is the driving force behind Kansas City’s success.

While his numbers this season may not be as flashy as in years past, his leadership and playmaking ability remain unmatched.

Mahomes has consistently delivered in clutch moments, and his chemistry with key players like Travis Kelce keeps the offense moving.

The Chiefs’ defense has also stepped up, ranking among the league’s best in points allowed.

Led by Chris Jones, their ability to pressure quarterbacks and force mistakes has been crucial.

Kansas City’s defense complements their offense well, making them one of the most balanced teams in the NFL.

However, the Chiefs will need to avoid turnovers and stay disciplined against a tough Bills defense.

Mistakes could be costly in a game where every possession matters.

Buffalo’s Home Dominance

The Buffalo Bills have been dominant at home this NFL season, winning all four games at Highmark Stadium.

Their fans create one of the loudest and most intimidating environments in the NFL, giving them a significant edge.

The Bills are on a five-game winning streak and are playing with confidence heading into this matchup.

Josh Allen is the centerpiece of Buffalo’s offense.

He has the ability to take over games with his arm and legs, making him one of the most difficult quarterbacks to defend.

Allen’s connection with his new wide receivers has been key, and his decision-making in high-pressure moments has improved over the years.

Buffalo’s defense is another strength.

They excel at forcing turnovers, with a league-leading turnover margin.

This ability to take the ball away and give their offense extra chances has been a major factor in their success.

Against a team like Kansas City, who rarely makes mistakes, the Bills’ defense will need to be at its best.

One area where Buffalo could have an advantage is their ability to control the clock.

By sustaining long drives and keeping Patrick Mahomes on the sidelines, they can limit the Chiefs’ scoring opportunities.

However, they will need to execute consistently to make this strategy work.

Key Players to Watch

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Mahomes is the heart of Kansas City’s offense.

His ability to extend plays and make throws from any angle makes him nearly impossible to defend.

Against a tough Bills defense, Mahomes will need to stay patient and take what the defense gives him.

His leadership in high-pressure situations will be critical.

Chris Jones (Chiefs)

Jones is the anchor of the Chiefs’ defense.

His ability to disrupt opposing offenses, both against the run and pass, has been a game-changer.

Jones will be tasked with pressuring Josh Allen and preventing him from getting comfortable in the pocket.

Josh Allen (Bills)

Allen’s dual-threat ability makes him one of the most exciting players to watch.

He can hurt defenses with deep passes or by running for first downs.

Allen will need to avoid turnovers and make smart decisions against Kansas City’s aggressive defense.

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Kelce is Mahomes’ favorite target and one of the best tight ends in NFL history.

His ability to find openings in the defense and make tough catches will be a key factor in Kansas City’s passing game.

Kelce’s presence also helps open up opportunities for other receivers.

Von Miller (Bills)

Miller is a veteran pass rusher who can still take over games.

His experience and ability to pressure Mahomes will be crucial for Buffalo.

If Miller can disrupt Kansas City’s passing attack, it could swing the game in Buffalo’s favor.

Chiefs vs. Bills Winning Pick

This game is expected to be close, with both teams bringing their best efforts.

The Bills’ home-field advantage and their ability to create turnovers give them a slight edge.

Josh Allen’s ability to rise to the occasion in big moments, combined with Buffalo’s strong defense, makes them the pick in this matchup.

However, the Chiefs are never out of a game with Patrick Mahomes under center.

If Kansas City can limit mistakes and make a few big plays on defense, they could pull off the win.

Fans should prepare for an exciting and hard-fought battle between two of the NFL’s best teams.

Prediction: Bills 27, Chiefs 24

NFL ATS Pick: Bills -2
NFL SU Pick: Bills -135

Bet the NFL Week 11 Games | NFL Live Betting MyBookie Betting Lines for the Tournament

Chiefs vs Bills Trends and Insights

• Xavier Worthy has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games
• Noah Gray has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 away games
• James Cook has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games
• Amari Cooper has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games
• Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games
• City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 away games
• Bills have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games
• Bills have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games
• Chiefs are 9-0 when betting on the Moneyline
• Bills are 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline

Bills vs. Chiefs Series History

Last meeting:
Chiefs 27, Bills 24: January 21st, 2024: Divisional Playoff – Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

Head-to-head (includes postseason games):
Buffalo Bills lead series 29-25-1

Ah yes, time for the annual Chiefs vs Bills week. Here’s a live look at the fans: pic.twitter.com/z0bVRk7ccx

— Matt C (@MattfromKC) November 12, 2024

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