Texans at Colts NFL Football Week 4 Odds & Pick

The Houston Texans head to Indianapolis in search of their first win of the season. Can the Texans pull off the upset as a slight underdog? Or, will the Indianapolis Colts bring their record to 2-2? Check out the latest NFL Week 4 odds, analysis, and a free pick for Texans at Colts!

Texans at Colts NFL Football Week 4 Odds & Pick

When: Sunday, Sep. 30 at 1:00 pm ET Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN TV: CBS Over/Under Total Odds: 47 (-110)

Weather Forecast

Partly Cloudy: 19^°C/67^°F
Humidity: 64%
Precipitation: 7%
Wind: 7 mph S
Cloud Cover: 41%
Type of Stadium: Retractable

**Why are the Texans a good bet at +1.5?**

Houston’s been close in all 3 of their games this season. The Texans lost 20-27 to New England in Week 1, 17-20 to Tennessee in Week 2, and 22-27 to the New York Giants in Week 3. Could this be the game where the Texans finally secure a victory? It might because Indianapolis appears to be the worst team the Texans have faced this season. The Colts’ defense should have trouble stopping Houston’s excellent rushing attack. If the Texans’ defense doesn’t give up big mistakes, Houston should win this.

Team Statistics

Offense:

Average Score For: 19.7
Total Yards: 396.3
Pass Yards: 271.7
Rush Yards: 124.7

Defense:

Average Score Against: 24.7
Total Yards: 350.3
Pass Yards: 238.3
Rush Yards: 112

**Why are the Colts a good bet at -1.5?**

Since a 23-34 loss to Cincinnati in Week 1, Indy has played well enough to go 2-0 against the spread in their last couple of games. The Colts pulled off the upset over Washington in Washington in Week 2. They lost by only 4, 16-20, to Philadelphia in Week 3. Coming home against a team like Houston should bolster the Colts because they had to play their last two games on the road against better opponents. Indianapolis looks solid to use their homefield advantage and beat Houston on Sunday.

Team Statistics

Offense:

Average Score For: 20
Total Yards: 290
Pass Yards: 207.7
Rush Yards: 82.3

Defense:

Average Score Against: 21
Total Yards: 347.7
Pass Yards: 241.7
Rush Yards: 106

NFL Football Betting Trends Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

Houston is 0-5 ATS in the last 5 games
Houston is 0-5 SU in the last 5 games
The total went UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
Indianapolis is 2-8 SU in the last 10 games
The total went UNDER in 10 of Indianapolis’s last 11 games

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts Final Analysis

The spread has already gone from Colts -3 to Colts -1.5. Although it’s taken a ton of money for the spread to dive 50%, it’s hard to see if the money is right. Indianapolis might just be the better team in this matchup because Houston has failed to close the door on all 3 of its opponents. Losing to the New York Giants in Week 3 says a lot. The Giants’ defense shouldn’t be good enough to hold Houston to only 22 points. The problem the Texans have appears to be from the sidelines where their coaches aren’t calling the right plays in the right situations. The Colts have a quarterback, Andrew Luck, that can bail them out if things get tough while Houston’s quarterback, Deshaun Watson, doesn’t have the flash he displayed last season. Indy’s the play. NFL Football Week 4 Pick: Colts -1.5