Updated 2017 NFL Super Bowl 51 Betting Odds

Tom Brady and the New England Patriots may be favored to beat Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons when Super Bowl 51 goes down on Sunday, February 5 at 6:30 PM ET, but history says the Pats could be in big trouble when it comes to covering the Super Bowl betting lines a 3-point favorite. Let’s find out why.

In Depth Analysis On The Updated 2017 NFL Super Bowl 51 Betting Odds

Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots

When: Sunday, February 5 at 6:30 PM ET
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Spread: New England -3
Moneyline: Atlanta +140 at New England -160 / Game Total: 58

The underdog has covered the NFL betting line in four of the last five Super Bowls and seven of the last 10 Super Bowls overall. The underdog cashed in twice during this span as a 2.5-point dog, while covering once as a 4.5-point dog and once as a 5-point dog. Atlanta Falcons (13-5 SU, 12-6 ATS) has gone 2-0 ATS this postseason while compiling a near-perfect 5-1 ATS mark over their last six games.

The good news for New England (16-2 SU, 15-3 ATS) fans and betting backers is the fact that the Pats are 2-0 ATS this postseason, 7-0 ATS over their last seven games and 8-2 ATS over their L/10 games. The Pats are also just 1-4 ATS in their last five Super Bowls while Atlanta has gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record. As far as the 58-point Over/Under total is concerned, this figure represents the highest O/U Total in Super Bowl history.

The Over is 5-0 in New England’s last five games following a straight up win of more than 14 points and 6-1 in the Patriots L/7 playoff games. The Over is also 4-0 in Atlanta’s last four playoff games, 5-0 in their last five games against a team with a winning record and 15-5-1 in their last 21 games overall.

The Under is 4-0 in New England Patriots’ last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and 8-1 in their last nine games on grass, but the Falcons haven’t compiled an significant Under trends of their own, mostly because they averaged over 33.0 points per game this season. The Over is 3-1 in the last four Super Bowls and but just 5-5 over the last 10 Super Bowls.