2023 NFL Week 15 ATS Picks and Expert Analysis

As the NFL heads into Week 15, the playoff race intensifies, and savvy bettors are focusing on NFL ATS Week 15 betting picks to find value in key games. With several high-stakes matchups on the slate, understanding the spread and identifying the best ATS picks can make all the difference in your betting strategy.

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2024 NFL season | 104th season of National Football League in the United States
Week 15: Thursday, December 5th – Monday, December 9th, 2024

ATS Picks in the Fifteenth Week of the Season

The NFL is heading into Week 15, and the playoff race is heating up.

With several critical matchups on the slate, bettors are analyzing spreads to find value in key games.

Below are the top ATS (against the spread) bets for this week.

Writer’s ATS Picks for the NFL Week 15

Thursday Night Matchup: Rams at 49ers

Spread: Rams +2.5
Pick: Rams (+2.5)

The Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers face off in what feels like a playoff elimination game.

Both teams are fighting to keep their postseason hopes alive.

The Rams come into this game with a December-winning streak led by Matthew Stafford.

Historically, Stafford performs well late in the season, and his experience in high-pressure games could be the difference.

San Francisco, on the other hand, has struggled against teams with winning records, going 2-7 in such matchups this season.

Injuries in their backfield also pose a challenge, as they may rely on a fourth-string running back.

With the Rams in better form and Stafford’s strong December track record, they are the smart play as road underdogs.

Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions

Thursday, December 5th, 2024
Spread: Lions -2.5
Pick: Lions (-2.5)

The Lions have been one of the most consistent teams this season, boasting the NFL’s highest-scoring offense.

Meanwhile, the Bills’ defense has struggled on the road, particularly against high-powered offenses.

Detroit’s balanced attack, featuring Jared Goff and a strong running game, should capitalize on Buffalo’s weaknesses.

The Lions also benefit from extra rest, having played on Thursday in Week 14, while the Bills are coming off a tough loss and a long trip home.

Detroit’s ability to control the game on the ground and through the air gives them the edge to cover the spread in what could be a high-scoring affair.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles

Sunday, December 8th, 2024
Spread: Steelers +5
Pick: Steelers (+5)

Philadelphia has been a difficult place for the Steelers, who haven’t won there since 1965.

Despite this, Pittsburgh’s defense has been stout against the run, holding Derrick Henry to just 65 yards in a recent matchup.

Saquon Barkley will test their resolve, but the Steelers’ ability to limit rushing yards could keep this game closer than expected.

While the Eagles remain one of the NFL’s top teams, their recent struggles in the passing game could play into Pittsburgh’s hands.

A close, low-scoring game favors the Steelers to cover the spread.

Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns

Sunday, December 8th, 2024
Spread: Chiefs -4
Pick: Chiefs (-4)

The Chiefs come into this game looking to solidify their playoff position.

Their offense has been steady, and Patrick Mahomes continues to find ways to lead his team in key moments.

Cleveland’s defense has shown flashes of strength but has been inconsistent against top-tier offenses.

Kansas City’s ability to adapt and create opportunities gives them an advantage here.

Cleveland’s offensive struggles make it hard to see them keeping up with the Chiefs’ scoring pace.

Kansas City should cover the spread with a solid all-around performance.

Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans

Sunday, December 8th, 2024
Spread: Dolphins -3
Pick: Dolphins (-3)

Miami has been strong offensively, with Tua Tagovailoa and their passing game consistently producing points.

Houston’s defense has had trouble stopping the pass, which sets up a favorable matchup for Miami.

The Texans’ offense has also struggled to keep pace with high-scoring opponents.

The Dolphins’ ability to exploit mismatches in the secondary will likely decide this game.

Houston will have to find ways to limit Miami’s offensive possessions to stay competitive, but the Dolphins have the tools to pull away and cover the spread.

NFL Week 15 Final Betting Thoughts

Week 15 offers plenty of good matchups with playoff implications.

Teams are fighting for seeding, and others are battling to keep their postseason dreams alive.

This creates opportunities to find value in spreads.

With injuries, recent trends, and matchups in mind, these games are worth a closer look for bettors.

As always, good luck!

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NFL Week 15 ATS Picks and Expert Analysis

Previous Betting News

2023 NFL Week 15 ATS Picks: It’s a brave person who would come out now and confidently try to predict how the remainder of the NFL season is going to play out. Each week seems to bring another round of surprise results, with the standings at both conferences now about as tight as they get. MyBookie Sportsbook NFL Odds, American Football NFL Lines

That’s great news for fans and bettors alike, as it means more meaningful games on the schedule in the final few weeks of the season. That said, it also makes handicapping games a little tougher, with the upsets and surprises really starting to pile up. Even with that, we had ourselves a solid showing in Week 14, going 6-2-1 with out picks for the week. Let’s see if we can build on that and have another money-making weekend, focusing on the NFL ATS selections that we really like this weekend.

Denver Broncos at Detroit Lions

It took the Broncos a moment to get going, but they finally seem to be getting their act together, winning 6 of their last 7 games, a run that has helped them get back into the playoff conversation. They have beaten some very good teams during that run, but a trip to Detroit to face the Lions is another very tough one. Detroit is living up to their billing as potential Super Bowl dark horse, going 9-4 to take control of the NFC North, controlling their own playoff destiny in the process. This looks like a good matchup, but I am leaning toward the Lions, who have covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games versus teams from the AFC. They are also 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall.

New York Giants at New Orleans Saints

In terms of overall performance, there is very little to differentiate these two teams, but the state of the divisions means that the Saints are in a much better place than the Giants. The NFC South is still very much up for grabs even with the Saints sitting a game below .500 heading into Week 15 of the season. The Giants have one less win than their opponent this weekend, but they are much worse off when it comes to the playoff picture. That, plus New Orleans being at home, puts things very much in the favor of the Saints, in my humble opinion. They are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games at home, but I think that playoff push helps them to win and cover in this one.

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins

As we mentioned at the top of this piece, there have been a ton of surprises all season long. The Dolphins were on the receiving end of that last weekend, gassing a 14-point lead to the Titans after being in cruise control with 5 minutes to play in that game. They will be looking to bounce back with a win this weekend, and they might well have the perfect opponent to make that happen. The Jets did deliver a surprise win of their own, beating the Texans last time out, but that took them to just 5-8 this season. You also have to consider that they are a very poor 2-9 ATS in their last 11 versus the Dolphins, which is why I like Miami for a comfortable win this weekend.

I have read enough, I need to place my bet now. What to do?