ATP 2021 European Open Betting Update: Friday Matches Analysis

ATP 2021 European Open Betting Update: Friday Matches Analysis

MyBookie’s daily ATP 2021 European Open betting update focus on Friday, October 22 matches, where we take a look at the matchups and provide our predictions.

Here is everything you need to know about Friday’s European Open fixtures, with all the information to help you bet on European Open odds.

European Open Tennis Update – Friday, October 22 Games Odds | ATP Betting

Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Rinderknech

  • When: Friday, October 22 – 16:30 CEST

Jannik Sinner is one of the main favorites to win the 2021 European Open, so it shouldn’t surprise anyone that he is priced as a -476 favorite for his match against Arthur Rinderknech (+313). Although a large price gap, it’s a fair one.

Sinner has been exceptional this season and has already proven his worth in this tournament. In the previous round, the Italian has made easy work of his compatriot, Lorenzo Musetti (2-0), and is now 8-2 across his last ten outings.

The only two losses over that stretch came against Tayloe Fritz (0-2) in the 1/8 finals of Indian Wells and current no.4, Aleksander Zverev (0-3) in the 1/8 finals of the 2021 U.S. Open.

Rinderknecht, meanwhile, is 6-4 across his last 10, with losses against world no.42 Carlos Alcaraz (1-3) in the 1/32 finals of the 2021 U.S. Open, world no.62 Benjamin Bonzi (1-2) in Rennes, world no.58 Marcos Giron (1-2) in Metz, and world no.188 Hugo Grenier, who upset the French 0-2 in Orleans.

Interestingly, Rinderknecht won his only meeting with Sinner (2-1) back in May in Lyon; however, despite that result, it’s hard to doubt the Italian. Sinner should get it done in straight sets. 

Brandon Nakashima vs Diego Schwartzman

  • When: Friday, October 22 – 18:30 CEST

Argentina’s Diego Schwartzman (-151) has had a very up-and-down season. He has had several moments of greatness but also disappointing losses, making it hard to say how good he really is. However, he has done well in Buenos Aires and France, where he has reached QF, which is worth something.

One thing to take away from Schwartzman is that he usually does well on clay; however, he is decent on hard courts as well, seeing he has reached five of his last 11 finals on this surface.

Last time out, Schwartzman won against Andy Murray (6-4, 7-6), where he has shown some good qualities; however, he also needed nearly four hours to seal the deal. Hence some fatigue is expected.

Brandon Nakashima (+114) is enjoying one of the best years of his career, having reached two finals in July at Los Cabos and in Washington. In this tournament, Nakashima already won both of his qualifiers, to which he added an R1 win against Alex de Minaur (2-0) and Henri Laaksonen (2-1).

While we have to show some respect to Nakashima and what he has achieved of late, beating Schwartzman might be a tough ask. It could be a close one, but Schwartzman should edge out a win. 

Jenson Brooksby vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • When: Friday, October 22 – 20:00 CEST

World no.44, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will clash with Jenson Brooksby in what promises to be an exciting bout. He has already won against Jordan Thompson (6-3, 6-3) and Cristian Garin (4-6, 6-3, 6-3) and looks to be in great form.

In the second round of the 2021 European Open, Fokina fought back from a one-set deficit to steal the win while scoring 90 points (vs. Garin’s 82). What’s more, the Spaniard recorded two aces and committed only one double foul.

In 2021, Fokina is at 8-7 on indoor hard courts, which isn’t great; however, he has shown some great qualities in the earlier stages of this tournament.

Jenson Brooksby, ranked no.70 in the world, has made it to this stage of the tournament, having beaten Michael Gerts (6-4, 6-2), Norbert Gombos (6-4, 6-2), Reilly Opelka (6-4, 6-4) and Botic Van De Zandschulp (6-2, 6-0).

Unlike Fokina, Brooksby recorded only one ace and committed one double foul in his last game. However, he was effective with his serves and won 77% of his first serves and 74% of the second serve.

Brooksby is priced as a heavy favorite for this match (-322) against Fokina (+226), which may seem fair; however, Fokina has definitely shown enough for us to believe he can force a tight match and win at least one set.


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