It’s easy to get carried away with the events of the opening few weeks of the NFL season, forgetting that the race to the Super Bowl is a marathon and not a sprint.
You have a handful of unbeaten teams heading into Week 4, but there is a good chance that number will be cut after this weekend, and also a chance that some of those teams might not even be in the playoff conversation once we get to the end of the regular season.
My NFL Betting Analysis in the Week 4
Similarly, teams that are out to a slow start may still find their feet and make a run the rest of the way.
This weekend, one of the unbeaten teams, the Kansas City Chiefs, will be on the road to go up against the LA Chargers, looking to continue their march toward a three-peat.
The Chiefs are currently sitting as a 7-point road favorite, with the total set at 40.
^Kansas City Chiefs Odds -370
Mike Danna did not practice today.
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) September 26, 2024
After the opening 3 weeks of the season, the Super Bowl champs are sitting with a perfect 3-0 record, but I think everyone can agree that they have looked pretty far from perfect.
In fact, there are some who would suggest that a couple of those wins have come courtesy of a pair of rather dodgy pass interference calls going in their favor.
The scary thing, though, is that we all know that this team can be better, so what is going to happen when they do get on track?
Going back to last season, the Chiefs are now 9-0 in their last 9 games, as well as being the winners of each of their last 5 road games.
They have also won 5 in a row on the road against the Chargers.
KC has covered the spread in 8 of their last 9 games and the UNDER has hit in 6 of their last 7 meetings versus teams from the AFC West.
^LA Chargers Odds +280
We were all of the belief that the Chargers would be better with Jim Harbaugh on the sideline, and that has certainly been the case to this point.
They started the season with back-to-back wins before seeing their perfect record come to an end on the road in Pittsburgh last weekend against a smothering Steelers D.
The Chargers lost Justin Herbert and Joey Bosa to injury in that game, with both players listed as questionable for this weekend, so look for their status before you wager.
The Chargers are just 3-9 SU in their last 12 games, but that is a stat we can probably ignore at the moment.
They have also won just once in their last 6 games at home, but again, the tide appears to be turning.
The UNDER has hit for the Chargers in 10 of their last 12 conference games.
^thursday’s #KCvsLAC injury report pic.twitter.com/pMMhBkAXli
— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) September 26, 2024
Kansas City Chiefs vs LA Chargers Betting Prediction
I am a little bit on the fence with this one as I await the status of Herbert and Bosa.
I think they are likely to start, but you have to wonder how effective they might be. I am going to take the Chargers to cover in a losing cause, plus I also like the UNDER in this one.
Kansas City Chiefs 21, LA Chargers 17
^Chiefs vs Chargers Info
Date & Time: Sunday, September 29 at 4:25 PM EST
Location: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
TV: CBS
Chiefs vs Chargers Standings in the AFC West Standings
AFC WEST | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | W | L | T | % | PF | PA | Home | Road | Strk |
Chiefs | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 75 | 62 | 2-0-0 | 1-0-0 | 3W |
Chargers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 58 | 33 | 1-0-0 | 1-1-0 | 1L |
Raiders | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | 58 | 81 | 0-1-0 | 1-1-0 | 1L |
Broncos | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | 52 | 46 | 0-1-0 | 1-1-0 | 1W |
W: Games Won | L: Missed Matches | T: Tied Matches | %: Percentage Victories | PF: Total Points For | PA: Total Points Against | HOME: Home Record | ROAD: Road Record | Strk: Streak
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