Betting Chiefs vs Broncos Pick for NFL Week 18 with MyBookie

As the NFL heads into Week 18, our Chiefs vs Broncos pick focuses on a key matchup where the Kansas City Chiefs are set to face the Denver Broncos. With the Chiefs having already clinched the top seed, they’re expected to rest many of their starters, which has led to Denver being a significant -8.5 favorite at home to hand Kansas City their second loss of the season. However, the Chiefs’ second team could have the motivation to play spoiler and end the Broncos’ playoff hopes with a strong performance.

Betting Chiefs vs Broncos Pick for the 2025 NFL Week 18
NFL Week 18 Face-Off: Don’t Miss Out on the Betting Action

2025 NFL Season | 104th season of National League in the United States
Week 18: Saturday, January 4th – Sunday, January 5th, 2025

Betting 2025 Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Week 18 Game

Top seed Kansas City will rest most of their starters in NFL Week 18, which is why the Denver Broncos are a massive -8.5 favorite at home to hand KC their second loss of the season.

The Chiefs head to Mile High not requiring a victory.

However, playing well and ending Denver’s quest for a playoff spot may be enough of an incentive for the Chiefs’ second team to get it done.

Check out NFL odds, analysis, and picks for Kansas City at Denver.

NFL Week 18 Showdown: Kansas City Chiefs (15-1) at Denver Broncos (9-7)
Sunday, January 5th, 2025 at 4:25 PM EST CBS | Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO

ATS Odds: Chiefs -11
Money line Odds: Kansas City -725 / Denver +490
Over/Under Odds: 40

Writer’s Pick for the Chiefs vs Broncos Game Starting Sunday’s Round of Action

Why Bet Kansas City versus Denver

Even if the Chiefs sit their top players like Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, George Karlaftis and Chris Jones, the Chiefs have a deep enough bench to keep this game closer than the spread.

At one time, backup QB Carson Wentz was an NFL MVP candidate.

Wentz’s career has taken a turn south for sure but he remains a capable quarterback.

Kareem Hunt and Samaje Perine are likely to play in this.

KC should also have many of their second team defenders in this game.

Because the Chiefs have a deep bench, they must be taken seriously to at least cover the spread.

Kansas City Betting Stats

Record – 15-1
ATS – 8-8
O/U – 7-9
Away – 7-1
Home – 8-0

Why Bet Denver versus Kansas City

In Sean Payton’s second season, the Denver Broncos are on the verge of scoring a playoff berth.

Denver’s season didn’t start out well but as rookie quarterback Bo Nix improved, so did the team.

The Broncos sit at 9-7.

Their chances of making the playoffs depends on Week 18.

If they win and Cincinnati loses, the Broncos are in.

If Cincinnati wins and Denver loses, the Broncos are out.

The Miami Dolphins are also alive.

Both Miami and Cincinnati have 8 losses.

So the Broncos are in if they win this game.

We should expect Denver to pull out all the stops, which means Sean Payton is going to open his playbook.

Denver Betting Stats

Record 9-7
ATS – 11-5
O/U – 11-5
Away – 4-5
Home – 5-2

Final Kansas City at Denver Betting Picks for the Game

Kansas City is good enough to keep this game close even if they sit every starter on both offense and defense.

But the Denver Broncos are motivated to get the deal done.

The Broncos had a real shot of knocking out Cincinnati in their last game.

A win would have sent Denver to the playoffs.

Joe Burrow hooked up with Tee Higgins for multiple touchdowns to ensure the Bengals kept their playoff hopes alive.

Denver won’t let another shot at the NFL postseason pass them by.

Kanss City must do more than sit their starters.

They must play a conservative game because if Wentz gets hurt, the Chiefs could be in trouble heading to the playoffs with only Patrick Mahomes healthy enough to play.

Expect the Chiefs to run the ball and try to speed up the clock.

Denver will go all out on both sides to ensure a win.

Broncos cover in an under contest.

NFL ATS Pick: Chiefs -11
NFL Total Pick: Under 40

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Kansas City at Denver Betting Trends Today

Kansas City are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games on the road.
Kansas City are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Denver.
Total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 7 games against an opponent in the AFC conference.
Total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 7 games against an opponent in the AFC West division.
Kansas City are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games played in January.
Denver are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
Denver are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas City.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver’s last 9 games against an opponent in the AFC conference.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver’s last 6 games against an opponent in the AFC West division.
Denver are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games played in January.

(Check out: NFL ATS Week 18 betting picks, that’s a rundown on to the top games.)

: The #Chiefs will likely rest their starters week 18 vs Denver, per @RapSheet

The Broncos will have to beat KC’s backups in order to make the playoffs.

The Bengals need a Broncos loss. pic.twitter.com/PJPRIyQfp6
— JPAFootball (@jasrifootball) December 29, 2024