NFL Divisional Round Odds: Savvy Picks for Each Game this Weekend

Get ready for some thrilling action with Divisional Round savvy NFL picks as the 2025 NFL playoffs heat up. On Sunday night, the Baltimore Ravens, led by Lamar Jackson, face off against Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills in what promises to be an intense showdown.

2025 Divisional Round Savvy NFL Picks for Each Game: Ravens Take on Bills in Sunday Night’s Main Event
Divisional Round: INSIDE INFO: Who Will ACTUALLY Win (You Won’t Believe #3!)

2025 NFL season | 106th season of National Football League in the United States
Divisional Round: Saturday, January 18th – Monday, January 19th, 2025

Betting NFL Divisional Round Games

The 2025 NFL Divisional Round isn’t short of drama.

The four game event kicks off on Saturday at 3:30 pm eastern when top seed Kansas City hosts the Houston Texans.

Also on Saturday, the NFC’s top seed, the Detroit Lions, welcome rookie Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders.

Then on Sunday, the Los Angeles Rams travel to Philadelphia to battle the Eagles and in the prime time Sunday night main event, Josh Allen and the Bills host Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens.

Which teams have the edge against the spread and will the games go over or under the total?

Check out NFL odds, analysis, ATS and over/under total picks for this season’s NFL Divisional Round games.   

Writer’s NFL Picks for the Divisional Round Matchups

Houston Texans at Kanas City Chiefs

AFC Divisional Playoffs: Texans (10-7) at Chiefs (15-2)
Saturday, January 18th, 2025 at 4:30 PM EST ESPN/ABC/ESPN+ | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

ATS Odds: Kansas City -8.5
ML Odds: Houston +350 / Kansas City -460
Total Odds: 41.5

The Houston Texans head to Kansas City looking to take down the Chiefs.

The Texans played a marvelous game against the L.A. Chargers to knock Jim Harbaugh’s team from the playoffs.

But although Houston looked good, the blame for most of the loss falls on the Bolts.

Herbert, who had thrown just three picks the entire season, tossed four.

Not only that but the Chargers for some unknown reason couldn’t cover Nico Collins even though he’s C.J. Stroud’s lone wide receiving threat.

Joe Mixon also had a big game rushing the football, which means the Bolts imploded in every phase of the game.

The Chiefs aren’t the Chargers.

So we shouldn’t expect KC to come close to allowing Houston to stay in this game.

First, Patrick Mahomes has his full arsenal of receiving weapons.

Even Isaiah Pacheco, one of the top pass catching running backs in the league, is healthy.

Travis Kelce excels in playoff games.

Hollywood Brown is one hundred percent and DeAndre Hopkins remains one of the most difficult players to matchup with one on one.

The most important thing for Patrick is that the offensive line is at full strength.

Mahomes is going to have a fantastic game.

Second, Steve Spagnuolo knows how shutdown an offense’s best weapon.

Stroud is going to struggle to find passing lanes to Collins.

This has the makings of a Chiefs’ blowout victory.

Expect something like a 28-6 or 30-10 KC win.

NFL Divisional Round ATS Pick: Kansas City -8.5  
NFL Divisional Round Over/Under Pick: Under 41.5 

Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions

NFC Divisional Playoffs: Commanders (12-5) at Lions (15-2)
Saturday, January 18th, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST FOX | Ford Field, Detroit, MI

ATS Odds: Detroit -9.5
ML Odds: Washington +400 / Detroit -520
Total Odds: 55.5

Washington heads to Detroit hoping to pull off another upset win.

The Commanders landed in Tampa Bay and beat the Buccaneers as a +3.5 underdog.

The bar for an upset is much higher versus the Lions, the top seed in the NFC.

Detroit is one of the best teams in the NFL.

The defense still has some problems, though.

Injuries hit the Lions’ D hard but in the final game of the season, Detroit managed to shut down Sam Darnold, Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison.

Daniels is a good quarterback but he’s still a rookie.

So although Detroit doesn’t have a fully healthy secondary, the front seven, led by former Iowa standout linebacker Jack Campbell, is plenty good enough to pressure Daniels and force him into difficult throws.

The Lions are terrific at shutting down the run.

So expect the Commanders to counter with some plays designed to get the ball to former Chargers running back Austin Ekeler.

If that doesn’t work, the Commanders will be done.

Washington will score in this.

But it won’t be enough to either catch the Lions against the spread or for this game to go over.

Jared Goff will have his way with a Commanders’ defense that doesn’t always show up.

Jahmyr Gibbs should have a massive fantasy day if you’re putting together a team this weekend.

Expect the Lions to score over 30.

The Commanders will score less than 20.

So the game goes under by a few points while Detroit covers.

NFL Divisional Round ATS Pick: Detroit -9.5
NFL Divisional Round Over/Under Pick: Under 55.5 

LA Rams at Philadelphia Eagles

NFC Divisional Playoffs: Rams (10-7) at Eagles (14-3)
Sunday, January 19th, 2025 at 3:00 PM EST NBC/Peacock | Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

ATS Odds: Philadelphia -6.5
ML Odds: LAR +235 / Philadelphia -290
Total Odds: 44.5

Jalen Hurts returned to the Philadelphia Eagles and showed why he’s one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL.

In a game where he didn’t produce big stats, Hurts led his team to a convincing 22-10 win and cover over Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers.

Not all is copasetic in Philly, though.

A.J. Brown continues to show he’s not a great team player because he doesn’t get as many throws as he expects.

The rest of the offense, Saquon Barkley, Dallas Goedert, and DeVonta Smith are doing their jobs.

Hurts won’t let Brown influence his game.

So Jalen will do well in this.

But the Eagles go up against a surging Rams side.

Matthew Stafford is providing his best Troy Aikman impersonation.

Staff hasn’t put up massive stats but he’s doing enough for the Rams to win by convincing margins.

The Rams’ D has become a lockdown unit and Staff and head coach Sean McVay have changed the offense’s strategy because of the D.

The Rams are a slow moving wrecking ball that takes their time with every possession.

This is going to frustrate the Eagles.

If Hurts and the Eagles don’t solve the Rams’ defense, and only the Seattle Seahawks in a meaningless Week 18 game has has scored more than 9 in the Rams’ last eight contests, LAR will win this straight up.

In fact, betting on the Rams to upset another NFC foe, the Vikings were the chalk versus LAR in last week’s wild card game, is the way to go.

The Rams are playing the way Super Bowl winning teams play, great defense, a patient run game, and the ability to make huge plays on offense if required.

Rams win straight up in another under game, so keep on checking those sportsbook odds until you lock in that bet.

NFL Divisional Round ML Pick: L.A. Rams +235
NFL Divisional Round Over/Under Pick: Under 44.5 

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills

NFC Divisional Playoffs: Rams (10-7) at Eagles (14-3)
Sunday, January 19th, 2025 at 6:00 PM EST CBS/Paramount+ | Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, New York

ATS Odds: Baltimore -1.5
ML Odds: Buffalo +100 / Baltimore -118
Total Odds: 51.5

No doubt, the NFL Divisional Round matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills has the chance of breaking viewership totals.

CBS and Paramount+ must be giddy about the fact that the two best quarterbacks this season will go head-to-head in their game.

Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have the edge over Josh Allen and the Bills.

The reason is because Lamar can lean on Derrick Henry, a hall of fame running back.

James Cook is good but Cook can’t take over this game.

Henry can. Allen must do everything by himself in this for the Bills to win.

The public and pros are thinking this way because the line opened Buffalo -1.5 and has since switched to Ravens -1.5.

Lamar and Derrick are doing what Stafford, Puka Nucua, Kyren Williams, and Cooper Kupp have done, slowed down the offense to lean on a surging defense.

The Ravens D has improved big time.

So we should be looking at another under game that goes to Lamar and his mates.

Baltimore heads to the AFC Championship to take on Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.

NFL Divisional Round ATS Pick: Baltimore -1.5
NFL Divisional Round Over/Under Pick: Under 51.5 

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The Bills-Chiefs ending in the 2021 Divisional Round will never get old. #NFLPlayoffs pic.twitter.com/U54yNhMtmN

— NFL (@NFL) January 16, 2025

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