We are 3 races into the 2021 MotoGP season, and we already have a clear leader, but as we saw last season, things can change rather dramatically. We’ll get into that in a moment, but we need to talk about the race that is coming up in Spain. For the riders sitting off the pace right now, this is an opportunity to get back in the hunt for a championship in the early going, but it’s also about beginning to build some level of consistency. After all, it’s not all about winning, but rather staying consistent and continually racking up points. With all of that in mind, let’s take a look at the current top 4 in the standings and how they might get on this weekend so you can make your bets against their MotoGP odds.
MotoGP Betting Analysis for the Gran Premio Red Bull de España
Quartararo is off to an unbelievable start this season, but no one is getting too carried away just yet. The reason for that is because he basically did the exact same thing last season. In 2020, Quartararo opened the season by winning each of the first two races, leading many to crown him as the champion right away. He fell away badly after that, though, winning one more race before falling all the way down to 8th in the final driver standings. He is currently sitting on top right now, but we are looking at a replay of 2020, as he has now won back-to-back races, while finishing 5th in the season opener. If he puts in another strong showing this weekend, maybe we can start to believe.
As we mentioned at the top of this piece, you don’t need to win a ton of races in a season to be crowned champion. It is all about consistency, which was proven by Joan Mir on his way to the title in 2020. He managed just 1 win last season, but frequent podium finishes kept him in the hunt and at the top. Mir has made a similar start to the 2021 season, taking 1 podium and not finishing worse than 7th through the opening 3 races. This race has not been good to him, though, as he was forced to retire in each of the last 2 seasons. His best run at this track was 3rd, which came when he was in Moto3.
After winning the Moto2 championship in 2018, Bagnaia made the move to MotoGP, but he has failed to make much of an impact through his first 2 seasons at this level. There are signs, albeit early ones, that he might be ready to make a forward step this season. Prior to 2021, Bagnaia had 0 wins in MotoGP and just a single podium finish. Two races into the new season, he already has a pair of podium finishes to his name. Will this be the weekend where he finally breaks his goose egg at this level?
This is just the second full season at the MotoGP level for Binder, so it is perhaps a little surprising to see him sitting in the top 4 after the first 3 races of the year. He does have a win at this level, taking the checkered flag in the Czech Republic last season. His performances have improved from week to week in 2021, culminating in a 5th place finish in his last race. He is certainly a longshot here, but perhaps one worth looking at.