In terms of racing, there is perhaps no better feeling that heading into the final lap with a lead, knowing that the checkered flag, and potential glory, is very much in sight. It can be easy to let up a little and take the foot off the gas in those positions, allowing someone to pass and take all the glory. That is where Fabio Quartararo is right now in MotoGP. He is at the top of the rider standings with a nice lead and just 5 races remaining on the season. He is the definite favorite to end the year as the world champion, but he does not have a lead that is insurmountable. Does he have what it takes to get the job done, or will one of the chasing pack catch him coming down the home stretch? This weekend, the riders will be in San Marino for the next race before they head to the US. Let’s take a look at the current top 4 in the standings so you can get all set to bet against the MotoGP odds.
MotoGP Betting Analysis for Gran Premio Octo di San Marino e della Riviera di Rimini
Last season, it looked as though Quartararo was heading for the title in just his 2nd season in MotoGP. He went off the rails in the final few races, though, ending up down in 8th in the driver standings, a drop from his 5th place overall finish in 2019. For now, that collapse does not appear to be coming, as he now has 5 wins on the season, 2 more than he did in 2020. He has also finished every race to this point, picking up valuable points in each. Last season, he was forced to retire in 2 races, one of which was in San Marino. He finished 2nd in this race in 2019, so he’ll be hoping for a repeat of that performance or better.
Before we hand the title to Quartararo, we might want to take a look at the chasing pack. Bagnaia moved into second in the rider standings after winning the Aragon Grand Prix and closing the gap by 17 points in the process. While that is a nice little chunk to bite off, he still sits 55 points back of Quartararo with just 5 races to go. If Bagnaia is going to be the one to make a move, he is going to need to be close to perfect from here on out, while also hoping that the leader slips up a little. He finished 2nd in San Marino last season, so definitely one to look at here.
It is looking increasingly as though Joan Mir is going to come up short in his quest to win back-to-back world titles, although he is still mathematically in this thing. He is now 4 points out of 2nd, which puts him 59 back of the leader. He has yet to pick up a win this season, but it should be noted that he had just 1 win in 2020 when he took the crown. He ran 3rd in San Marino last season.
While this has been a decent enough season for Zarco, a couple of forced retirements and an inability to take a checkered flag have him too far off the pace to be considered a serious contender at this point. He does have 4 podium finishes, but he has been disappointing in his last 2 races. This is also a track where he has had zero success, so a definite longshot to win.