Auburn at Mississippi State NCAA Football Week 6 Odds & Analysis

Auburn at Mississippi State NCAA Football Week 6 Odds & Analysis

Written by on October 2, 2018

Mississippi State hosts #9 Auburn looking to end a 2-game losing streak that’s left the Bulldogs wondering what’s happened. Auburn hopes to continue a 2-game winning streak that they started after losing to LSU on Sep. 15. Can the Bulldogs beat the favored Tigers? Check out our college football odds, analysis, and a free pick when Auburn travels to Mississippi State!

Auburn at Mississippi State NCAA Football Week 6 Odds & Analysis

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 26°C/78°F
  • Humidity: 73%
  • Precipitation: 6%
  • Wind: 4 mph SSE
  • Cloud Cover: 39%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Auburn is a good bet at -3?

Auburn’s defense should stop Mississippi State’s offense. The Tigers allow 12.6 points per game. 3 times this season, Auburn’s defense held an opponent to 13 points or less: 9-63 win over Alcorn State, a 3-34 win over Arkansas, and a 13-24 win over Southern Miss.

The Tigers should hold Mississippi State to 20 points or less. Because Auburn’s offense averages 32.6 points per game, Auburn appears set to beat Miss State and cover the spread.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 32.6
  • Total Yards: 376.2
  • Pass Yards: 197.6
  • Rush Yards: 178.2
  • Average Score Against: 12.6
  • Total Yards: 304.6
  • Pass Yards: 211.8
  • Rush Yards: 92.8

Why Mississippi State is a good bet at +3?

Is Mississippi State a safe bet for NCAA Football Week 6?
Like Auburn, Mississippi State’s got a pretty good defense. The Bulldogs allow an average of 13.4 points per game. In 4 of 5 games this season, Miss State has held their opponents to 13 points or less as well: 6 points for Stephen F. Austin, 10 points to Kansas State, 10 points to UL-Lafayette, and 13 points to Florida.

Mississippi State’s defense should play as just effectively, maybe even more effectively, then how Auburn’s defense plays. That could lead to not only a Mississippi State cover against the spread, but also a Miss State win on the money line.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 32.6
  • Total Yards: 433.2
  • Pass Yards: 214.2
  • Rush Yards: 219
  • Average Score Against: 13.4
  • Total Yards: 286.8
  • Pass Yards: 166.4
  • Rush Yards: 120.4

Auburn at Mississippi State NCAA Football Week 6 Betting Trends

  • Auburn is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games
  • Auburn is 4-1 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Auburn’s last 5 games on the road
  • Mississippi State is 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Mississippi State is 14-6 SU in the last 20 games
  • The total went UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State’s last 6 games when playing Auburn

Final NCAA Football Analysis for Auburn at Mississippi State

On paper, Auburn and Mississippi State appear evenly matched, but although Mississippi State’s defense has played well throughout this season, the Bulldogs’ offense has been atrocious in Miss State’s past couple of games.

Mississippi State scored only 7 points in a 7-28 loss to Kentucky on Sep. 22. On Sep. 29, Mississippi State only scored 6 points in a 6-13 loss to Florida. The Bulldogs’ defense will play great on Saturday. It won’t play good enough for Miss State to cover because the Bulldogs’ offense won’t score more than 10 to 20 points against Auburn’s defense.

Auburn’s the play.

NCAA Football Week 6 Pick: Auburn – 3