North Carolina at Florida State: Week 5 College Football Picks

You’re going to have a great opportunity to cash in with a potentially winning wager when the North Carolina Tar Heels and Florida State Seminoles hook up for an intriguing Week 5 ACC clash that I believe is offering a ton of value. Now, let’s find out which one of these ACC title hopefuls will bring home the bacon as well as the updated betting odds.

In Depth Analysis On The Tar Heels At Seminoles Week 5 College Football Expert Picks

When: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 3:30 PM ET Where: Doak Campbell Stadium TV: ESPN Live Stream: Watch ESPN NCAAF Odds: Florida State Seminoles -12

Bet The North Carolina Tar Heels at +12 Because…

The North Carolina Tar Heels have a big-time quarterback and an underrated head coach. North Carolina (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) is coming of a thrilling 37-36 win over Pittsburgh in Week 4 as quarterback Mitch Trubisky completed a two-yard touchdown pass to Bug Howard with just two seconds left to play. Trubisky completed 35-of-46 passes for 453 yards and five touchdowns but Carolina failed to cover the spread as a 6.5-point favorite. Wide receiver Ryan Switzer caught a whopping 16 of those passes for 208 yards and one score. For the season, Trubisky has passed for 1,306 yards with 10 touchdowns and no interceptions. Running back Elijah Hood leads Carolina’s rushing attack with 291 yards and four touchdowns on 54 carries, while Switzer leads the Heels with 33 catches for 429 yards and two scores.

Bet The Florida State Seminoles at -12 Because…

The Seminoles have the edge in overall talent and are playing at home. Florida State (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) bounced back from their humbling loss against Louisville by manhandling South Florida in their 55-35 Week 4 win as a 5-point favorite. Heisman Trophy-contending running back Dalvin Cook rushed for a career-high 267 yards and two touchdowns while redshirt freshman quarterback Deondre Francois completed 11-of-19 passes for 169 yards and one touchdown while rushing 10 times for 75 yards and another score. For the season, Francois has thrown for 951 yards with seven TD passes and two interceptions.

Expert Prediction and Pick

I’m going to get right to the point by saying that I like Florida State to get the SU win a home, but I definitely like North Carolina to cover the college football betting line as a double-digit road dog. The Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and 7-2 in their last nine games overall, but the Tar Heels are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games in the month of October and 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. North Carolina is also 8-3 ATS against a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record. In the end, North Carolina is a bit too good on both sides of the ball to lose to a solid, but not great, Florida State team by almost two touchdowns.