North Carolina vs Miami NCAA Football Week 5 Spread

North Carolina vs Miami NCAA Football Week 5 Spread

Written by on September 26, 2018

The North Carolina Tar Heels head to Miami hoping to take down their ranked rivals. Can the Heels hang with a Hurricanes squad that has turned their season around? Check out the latest NCAAF odds, analysis, and a free pick for Heels at Canes!

North Carolina vs Miami 2018 NCAA Football Week 5 Spread

When: Thursday, Sep. 27 at 8:00 pm ET Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL TV: ESPN Live Stream: WatchESPN ATS Odds: Miami -18 (-110) Over/Under Total Odds: 55.5 (-110)

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 28°C/83°F
  • Humidity: 76%
  • Precipitation: 3%
  • Wind: 11 mph E
  • Cloud Cover: 50%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why North Carolina is a good bet at +18?

After a couple of road losses, North Carolina bounced back huge in their third game of the season, beating Pittsburgh straight up 38-35 as a +3 dog. The Heels finally broke the 30-points barrier to bring their per score average to close to 25 per game. North Carolina is 1-0 in the ACC Coastal Conference. Even though they started out the season badly, they feel they can challenge Miami for the conference title. To challenge Miami for the conference title, the Heels must beat the Canes, which means they’ll be plenty motivated.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 24.7
  • Total Yards: 394
  • Pass Yards: 228
  • Rush Yards: 166
  • Average Score Against: 33.3
  • Total Yards: 397
  • Pass Yards: 194.3
  • Rush Yards: 202.7

Why #16 Miami is a good bet at -18?

At one time, the Miami Hurricanes ranked in the top 10 nationally. A stunning 17-33 loss to LSU in Week 1 ended that. But, coach Mark Richt has rallied the troops to 3 straight wins, including beating Florida International 31-17 and beating Toledo 49-24. Miami should win the ACC Coastal Division. Their only competition will be the Virginia Tech Hokies, at least that’s what the college football experts tell us. If the experts are right, Miami easily handles North Carolina by 20 points.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 43.5
  • Total Yards: 449.2
  • Pass Yards: 239.8
  • Rush Yards: 209.5
  • Average Score Against: 18.5
  • Total Yards: 223.8
  • Pass Yards: 145
  • Rush Yards: 78.8

North Carolina at Miami NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Trends

  • North Carolina is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • North Carolina is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
  • The total went UNDER in 5 of North Carolina’s last 6 games when playing Miami
  • Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Miami is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami-FL’s last 5 games

Final NCAA Football Betting Analysis for North Carolina at Miami 

North Carolina allows over 33 points per game on average. That could change on Thursday night because the Heels get back a linebacker, a defensive-end, and a defensive linemen. 9 players who were ineligible for the first 3 games of the season should play on Thursday night. That should give North Carolina a slight edge against the spread because even though Miami has looked good since the LSU loss, they’ve looked good versus mediocre teams like Florida International, or against Division II teams like Savannah State. The Cains should eke out a win. North Carolina will cover. NCAA Football Week 4 Pick: North Carolina +18