Week 10 College Football Expert Picks: Oklahoma Against Iowa State

Written by on November 2, 2016

The streaking 12th-ranked Oklahoma Sooners likely won’t have any trouble beating the reeling Iowa State Cyclones when they meet on Thursday night at Jack Trice Stadium, making the only ‘real’ question surrounding this Big 12 battle whether or not the Sooners will cover the spread as nearly three-touchdown road favorites. Let’s find out now the latest betting odds.

Week 10 College Football Expert Picks: Sooners Against Cyclones

Oklahoma Sooners at Iowa State Cyclones

When: Thursday, November 3, 2016 at 7:30 PM ET Where: Jack Trice Stadium TV: ESPN Live Stream: Watch ESPN NCAAF Odds: Iowa State Cyclones +19  

Oklahoma Sooners

Oklahoma (6-2 SU, 3-5 ATS) has won five straight games and comes into this matchup off a commanding 56-3 blowout of Kansas last week while covering the college football betting line as an insane 29.5-point favorite. For the season, quarterback Baker Mayfield is completing an incendiary 70.9 percent of his passes for 2,584 yards with 27 touchdowns and just five interceptions. Mayfield has tossed an impressive three touchdown passes or more in four straight games. Wide receiver Dede Westbrook and running back Joe Mixon have combined for 1,392 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while Mixon has rushed for a team-high 813 yards and five touchdowns. The Oklahoma Sooners are averaging a stellar 45.3 points per game to rank fifth nationally in scoring. Unfortunately, the Sooners defense is allowing a whopping32.5 points per game to rank 101st nationally in points allowed.

Iowa State Cyclones

Iowa State (1-7 SU, 5-3 TS) has lost four straight games and comes into this matchup off a heartbreaking 31-26 loss against Kansas State, although the Cyclones covered the spread as a 6-point underdog. Unfortunately, Iowa State has not beaten a ranked team since their 2012 win over TCU. For the season, quarterback Joel Lanning is completing a modest 59.4 percent of his passes for 1,224 yards with nine touchdowns and three interceptions. Lanning has been limited to just two touchdown passes in his last three games. Receivers Allen Lazard and Deshaunte Jones have combined for 916 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while running back Mike Warren has rushed for a team-high 530 yards and three touchdowns. The Cyclones are averaging a solid 32.3 points per game to rank 98th in scoring while allowing 32.4 points per game defensively to rank 101st in points allowed.

Expert Prediction and Pick

Oklahoma has won 10 straight over Iowa State, but it is their last three wins, which have all come by at least 36 points, that leads me to believe the Sooners are going to blow the Cyclones of the field for the fourth straight time. The Cyclones are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games in the month of November and 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings against the Sooners. Conversely, Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in their last five road dates against Iowa State and 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings overall. Oklahoma was once a preseason title contender of the highest order and are now clearly playing their best football of the season while Iowa State has given up at least 27 points in each of their last four games and 31 or more in three of those contests. Oklahoma will win this Week 10 matchup going away to cover the high point spread with room to spare!

Pick: Oklahoma 52 Iowa State 28