Tour de France Odds, Favorites, and Betting Analysis

Updated 2023 Tour de France Odds, Favorites, and Betting Analysis

The 2023 Tour de France starts peddling on July 1 and doesn’t stop until July 23. After an amazing finish to the 2022 Tour, Jonas Vingegaard lifted the general classification trophy for Jumbo-Visma. Vingegaard is the favorite to repeat as the yellow jersey winner.

Second choice in the betting, Tadej Pogacar won the 2021 Tour de France. Which cyclists made it to our picks list?

Check out Tour de France odds, analysis, and free picks for the 2023 Tour de France.


Updated 2023 Tour de France Odds, Favorites, and Betting Analysis | MyBookie Cycling Betting Preview

When: July 1 – 23, 2023
Where: Spain & France
TV/Streaming: NBC / Peacock


2023 Tour de France General Classification Yellow Jersey Picks

Top Pick: Tadej Pogacar +172

Pogacar was having a terrific 2023 before fracturing his wrist at Liege-Bastogne-Liege. Since the wrist fracture, which happened in early spring, Tadej has been training for the Tour.

No doubt, the fractured wrist is the reason he is a +172 second choice to Vingegaard. If not for the fractured wrist, and if Pogacar had competed during the rest of the spring, he’d likely be the chalk.

For sure, Tadej will be looking for revenge. Vingegaard took over for Primoz Roglic last year as Jumbo-Visma’s top cyclist. Pogacar knows that to beat Vingegaard, he also has to beat Vingegaard’s teammates.

That won’t be easy, but Tadej is determined. Expect the best cyclist in the world to again wear the yellow jersey.   

Tour de France Top Pick: Bet Tadej Pogacar to Win
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Second Pick: Jonas Vingegaard +115

In 2021, cycling in his first Tour de France, Vingegaard impressed. The chalk to win this year’s Tour finished second behind Tadej Pogacar.

Last year, Vingegaard was a third choice behind teammate Primoz Roglic to bring the yellow jersey back to Jumbo-Visma. For sure, many believed Vingegaard might overtake Roglic as Jumbo’s top cyclist.

But many also thought Jumbo-Visma might try to get Roglic a yellow jersey. So when Vingegaard beat Pogacar, when Jonas got the backing of his team, it was a slight surprise.
This year, Vingegaard has a giant bullseye on his back. Not only will Pogacar and Tadej’s team, UAE Team Emirates, be against Pogacar, but so will the rest of the teams at the Tour.

For sure Vingegaard can win the Tour. Jumbo-Visma, no matter how much money UAE  Team Emirates has put into their squad, remains the world’s best cycling team.

However, Vingegaard may have peaked too soon. Jonas won the Criterium du Dauphine and the Tour of the Basque Country this year. So Pogacar is the top pick.  

Tour de France Second Pick: Bet Jonas Vingegaard to Win
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Third Choice: Jai Hindley +1825

There’s a chasm between Pogacar’s second choice odds and Jai Hindley’s third choice odds. But although the chasm suggests Hindley has no shot, the Tour de France is a brutal race.

Favorites have crashed out of the event. If both Pogacar and Vingegaard end up failing to finish, not a great possibility but a possibility for sure, Hindley should be there to pick up the pieces.

Jai doesn’t have the team that Vingegaard and Pogacar has. So he will have to work hard. Outside of Pogacar and Vingegaard, we’re taking a shot. Hindley is a decent shot because he’s had a good 2023.

Tour de France Third Pick: Bet Jai Hindley to Win
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Top Underdog Play: David Gaudu +8500

Pogacar and Vingegaard will be so difficult to beat that the second place finisher at Paris-Nice this year is at 85-to-1 odds to wear the yellow jersey at the end of the event.  

Gaudu didn’t just have a great Paris-Nice. He also finished fourth at the Tour of the Basque Country. For sure, the race would have to fall apart for Gaudu to sniff the top of the podium.

Then again, we’re getting +8500. So we wouldn’t have to bet much on a flyer with the best chance of winning should the 2023 Tour de France end up a mess.

Tour de France Underdog Pick: Bet David Gaudu to Win
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2024 Tour de France Updated Odds

Racers Odds
Pogacar, Tadej +440
Roglic, Primoz +650
Evenepoel, Remco +980
Ayuso Pesquera, Juan +1825
Yates, Adam +3400
Kuss, Sepp +3600
Rodriguez Cano, Carlos +4900
Hart, Tao Geoghegan +6200
Hindley, Jai +6200
Thomas, Geraint +10000
Mas Nicolau, Enric +10000
Pidcock, Thomas +10000
Almeida, Joao +12000
Yates, Simon +13000
Carapaz, Richard +15000
Gall, Felix +15000
Gaudu, David +22000
Vlasov, Aleksandr +22000
Bilbao, Pello +24000
Arensman, Thymen +24000

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