2016 Breeder’s Cup California Chrome Expert Predictions

Written by on November 3, 2016

At this stage of his career, California Chrome has nothing left to prove, but when he runs in the $6 million Breeders Cup Classic at Santa Anita on Saturday November 5, he will be chasing history. If California Chrome can come up with the win, he will be the only Kentucky Derby winner to win the BC Classic as a 5-year old. It’s surprising that this horse is racing at all, as an animal of this pedigree is usually shut down and put out to stud once his 3-year old season ends. This horse loves to race, though, and he is continuing to rack up big wins, and the resulting horse racing prize money, to this day.

In Depth Analysis On The 2016 Breeder’s Cup California Chrome Expert Predictions


California Chrome Breeders Cup History

This will be the second time that California Chrome will race in the BC Classic. His last run came in 2014, the same year that he waltzed away with the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness. His bid for Triple Crown glory was denied at the Belmont Stakes that year, and his third-place performance at the Classic was considered by many to be a bit of a disappointment. You get the sense that things might be a little different this time around, though, especially now that Nyquist has been forced to withdraw. As his name suggests, this is a horse that loves the West Coast tracks, and Santa Anita would appear to be the perfect venue for him to race at.

Current Form and Biggest Challengers

California Chrome has raced 6 times in 2016, and has taken the wire in every race, racking up over $7 million in purses in the process. His season started with a win at Santa Anita, before shipping out and winning a couple of big races in Dubai. He returned home in time to win the San Diego Handicap at Del Mar, before heading back to Santa Anita to win another pair of stakes races, the latest of which was the Awesome Again Stakes at the start of October. California Chrome comes into the Breeders Cup Classic as the even money favorite, and there is a better than average chance that the odds will drop a little before post time. This is not to say that there aren’t any thoroughbreds in the 10-horse field that can beat him, because there are a couple. The most obvious choices would be Arrogate (5-2) and Frosted (5-1), with Melatonin (12-1) an outside shot if the race sets up just right for him.

Breeders Cup Classic Prediction

Barring a stumble out the gate or some other unforeseen issue, this race is California Chrome’s for the taking. A lot of people are talking about Arrogate being the main threat, but he is still young and relatively inexperienced. I think the main threat will come from Frosted, and I believe he will come in second to complete the exacta. As far as the trifecta goes, I think you should be looking at adding a longshot to the box ticket. I would take either Melatonin or Effinex in there, with Arrogate rounding out the superfecta ticket.