March Madness Over/Under Betting Analysis & Picks for Sweet 16 Games

March Madness Over/Under Betting Analysis & Picks for Sweet 16 Games

Now that we’ve whittled the field of 68 down to 16, we’re down to some of the best teams in the country. In looking at each team’s statistics, we see that many of them are ranked high in both offensive and defensive efficiency. Many of the teams remaining are at the top of the KenPom efficiency rankings. 

In looking at the over/under point totals for each of the eight games being played on Thursday and Friday, we’ve found a couple of games that we think we have a beat on. Here are the games that we like the point totals on so you can get all set to make your bets against the March Madness Odds.

March Madness Sweet 16 Over/Under Picks | NCAA Basketball Betting

Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Arkansas Razorbacks – Over 154.5

We know that both of these teams are among the top 15 teams in the KenPom defensive efficiency rankings, we have a hunch that both of these teams are going to put up a lot of points in their matchup.

For one, they both play an uptempo style of basketball. Besides having great defenses, they both also have very high-scoring offenses. Gonzaga will have Drew Timme and Chet Holmgren, who will both present mismatches for the Arkansas defense. Andrew Nembhard has played well in the first two rounds of the tournament, and we look for him to continue his strong play on the offensive end. 

While many experts think that Arkansas Razorbacks should try to slow things down and control the clock against Gonzaga, we don’t think that they’ll do that. Eric Musselman isn’t one to back down from a fight, and we foresee the Razorbacks playing their normal style of basketball and trying to outscore Gonzaga. 

We think that both teams could potentially end up in the 80s, so we’re recommending that you go with the over in this high-powered matchup.

Houston Cougars vs Arizona Wildcats – Under 145.5

This could be one of the best matchups of the tournament. Houston’s impenetrable defense will try and stop the length and athleticism of the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona is known as a high-scoring team, but when they play a team that plays the type of defense that Houston does, they struggle to score. 

Houston isn’t known as an offensive force. They win games by slowing their opponents down, stopping them from scoring, and forcing turnovers. Their defense is hard to prepare for. Arizona will have limited preparation time, and there isn’t a team in the country whose scout team players can simulate the Houston defense.

Arizona likes to play inside-out, and Houston showed that they can slow down a powerful inside game in their win against Illinois. They limited Kofi Cockburn’s offense and caused Illinois to play a different style than they had wanted to play. 

Houston has held nine of its last 10 opponents to 68 points or fewer. Even though Arizona has one of the top offenses in the country, we think that Houston will be able to slow the Wildcats down. We also think that Arizona will limit Houston’s offensive output. We see both teams ending up in the 60s, thus ending under 145.5.


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