MotoGP Barcelona-Catalunya Betting Favorites, Analysis & Prediction

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We are at the midway point of the season in MotoGP, with 10 races in the books and 10 more still to come. What may be surprising to some is that the current odds to win the MotoGP World Championship are very heavily in the favor of the current leader, Francesco Bagnaia, who is in at odds of -1587 to win it all for the second straight season. He certainly looks to be in control, but a lot can happen over the course of 10 races. That said, if the championship battle is to go all the way down to the wire, some other racer has to make a move in the coming weeks. The first opportunity to do that comes this weekend in Barcelona. Will Bagnaia increase his lead at the top or will someone start to close the gap?

MotoGP Betting Analysis for Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya | 2023 MotoGP Race Lines

When: Sunday, September 3 at 1:30 pm ET
Where: Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya
TV / Streaming: NBC

Francesco Bagnaia

MotoGP World Championship Winner Odds: -1587

There is a very definite reason why Bagnaia is in as such a heavy favorite to win the championship again this season. Through the opening 10 races of the season, Bagnaia has won 5 times and landed on the podium in 2 other races. He has 251 points right now, which has him 62 points up on the nearest racer. That is not an insurmountable lead, but you also have to think that Bagnaia would need to get very cold in the second half of the season, which seems unlikely when you consider that he won 5 races in the second half of last season. He has not been great in this race, though, so perhaps the door is open for another racer.

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Jorge Martin

MotoGP World Championship Winner Odds: +1125

The closest racer to Bagnaia is Martin, and while he is still very much in striking distance, he needs to find a way to start winning races. That is a task that is easier said than done, especially since Martin only has 1 win in the 2023 season. He has had a couple of podium finishes besides that win, but he has not really done much of late to suggest that he might make a big move over the next few weeks. In fact, he has finished outside the top 5 in each of the past 2 races, but he did finish 2nd in this race last season, so he may be worth the risk.

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Marco Bezzecchi

MotoGP World Championship Winner Odds: +1450

I believe that if any racer can make a second half run, it would have to be Bezzecchi. He has already won twice this season and has been on the podium in 3 other races, so he has certainly made a habit of staying close to the leaders throughout. No matter what happens from this point forward, you do have to say that this has been a breakout season for Bezzecchi, who finished 14th overall last season in his first year in MotoGP. He was forced to retire in Barcelona last season, but he could be a good top 5 bet this weekend.

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Brad Binder

MotoGP World Championship Winner Odds: +4200

There is a bit of a gap between the top 3 and the rest of the racers at this level, with Binder sitting 20+ points back of 3rd place right now. He is a definite longshot to get into the championship race, as well as to win this weekend, as he has still yet to win a race in this his 4th full season with MotoGP. Realistically, he is probably hoping to crack the top 3 overall, which would be seen as a solid finish.

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