Kansas Vs TCU Expert Analysis - NCAAB Betting

Kansas Vs TCU Expert Analysis – NCAAB Betting

Written by on January 4, 2021

Third-ranked Kansas will look to bounce back from their stunning beat-down loss on Saturday when they hit the road to take on unranked TCU on Tuesday. While the Jayhawks will look to regroup after their weekend defeat, the Horned Frogs will look to extend its winning ways in this Big 12 battle.

With Kansas looking to stay inside the national top 10 and TCU looking for the statement-making upset, let’s find out which team is offering the best  betting value in this affair so you can place your bets against their College Basketball odds.

College Basketball Picks – No. 3 Kansas Vs TCU

Why Bet On No. 3 Kansas

Kansas (4-5 ATS) got smacked around in its stunning 84-59 home loss against No. 8 Texas on Saturday. The blowout loss was the largest margin of defeat in a home game in the Bill Self era. The margin of victory was the most by an opponent at ‘The Phog’ since Missouri’s 91-66 victory way back in 1989.

“Certainly we didn’t do anything to stop them,” Kansas coach Bill Self said. “We already got our ass kicked once today; we didn’t need to have it kicked again in the locker room. But we got to regroup, we got to decide if we want to be a team that makes other people play bad, and that what we take the most pride in, because they certainly didn’t look like that today.”

Kansas got a team-high 20 points from sophomore forward Jalen Wilson, but junior guard Ochai Agbaji was the only other player to reach double figures in scoring with 11. The Jayhawks shot an ice-cold 31 percent from the field while going 3-for-23 from behind the arc.

Kansas averages 76.7 points per game on 42.7 percent shooting from the field and 37.2 percent from beyond the arc. The Jayhawks limit the opposition to 67.9 points per game on 40.5 percent shooting from the field and 31.8 percent from beyond the arc.

Why Bet On TCU

TCU (5-6 ATS) has won five straight including a 67-60 road win over Kansas State on Saturday. Senior guard RJ Nembhard scored a team-high 21 points while sophomore forward Kevin Easley added 12 points in the win. Freshman point guard Mike Miles added 11 points and five assists while junior center Kevin Samuel added 10 rebounds. TCU went wire-to-wire in the win.

TCU averages 71.7 points per game on 47.1 percent shooting from the field and 35.2 percent from beyond the arc. The Horned Frogs limit the opposition to 65.9 points per game on 42.2 percent shooting from the field and 28.2 percent from beyond the arc (42nd).

Kansas Jayhawks (8-2) Vs TCU Horned Frogs (9-2)

  • When: Tuesday, Jan. 5, 2021 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX
  • NCAAB Odds: TBD

Expert Analysis and Predictions

While Kansas has the more explosive offense in this matchup, TCU is actually the better shooting team (47.1% – 42.7%) and the better statistical team defensively. More importantly, I think this is a game the Horned Frogs now fully expect to win, particularly after seeing how Texas destroyed the Jayhawks on Saturday.

I know Kansas has won six straight against TCU while going 4-2 ATS over the last six meetings, but TCU has gone 5-0 ATS in its last five games as an underdog and covered the spread as a 16.5-point road dog against Kansas the last time they met in March. I’m expecting the Jayhawks to be fully focused in this affair, but I’m going with the streaking Horned Frogs to get the outright win as a slight home underdog in an absolute thriller!

Pick: TCU 75 Kansas 72

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