Michigan State vs #25 Iowa College Basketball Analysis Betting Tips

Michigan State vs #25 Iowa | College Basketball Analysis Betting Tips

If struggling Michigan State isn’t careful, the Spartans are going to play themselves right onto the NCAA Tournament bubble. They are solid underdogs on the NCAAB odds in Big Ten action Tuesday at No. 25 Iowa.

How to Bet Michigan State at Iowa NCAA Basketball Odds & TV Info

  • When: Tuesday, 7 PM ET
  • Where: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
  • TV: ESPN
  • Stream: ESPN app
  • Radio: Tunein.com
  • Opening NCAAB Lines: Iowa -7 (total 152.5)

Last Meeting

This is the only scheduled meeting between the teams this season. The Hawkeyes won both last year, including 84-78 at home. Iowa got 39 bench points —forward Jack Nunge had 12 points, and Joe Toussaint added 11. The Hawkeyes went 11 deep in the game, and got more than 89 minutes from their reserves, more than 46 in the second half. The reserves shot 13 of 19 from the field, had 19 of Iowa’s 38 rebounds, and Toussaint had the lone turnover among the bench players. MSU forward Marcus Bingham fouled out, and Aaron Henry, Joey Hauser and Thomas Kithier each had four fouls. Iowa shot 35 free throws, compared to 15 for the Spartans. MSU leads the all-time series 76-57.

Why Bet on Michigan State?

The Spartans (18-8) lost for the fourth time in five games Saturday, 79-74 against then-No. 12 Illinois. MSU was down as many as 16 in the second half and never led. After shooting just 31.0 percent from the floor in the first half, Michigan State connected on 60.6 percent of its second-half shots (20-of-33), including 46.2 percent from 3-point land (6-of-13). The 52 second-half points were the most points in a half against a Big Ten team this season.

“I didn’t think we competed in the first half,” Michigan State coach Tom Izzo said. “In the second half, we scored 52 points against the best defensive team in the league. I don’t like saying we’ll learn from a loss, but I think we’ll learn from this. I think we competed harder (in the second half), but we couldn’t get over that 10-point stretch.”

Junior guard Tyson Walker scored 26 points, including 24 in the second half, and had five assists to lead the Spartans, while sophomore guard A.J. Hoggard had 15 points and eight assists, redshirt senior forward Joey Hauser finished with 11 points, three rebounds and two assists and junior forward Julius Marble had eight points and a career-high 10 rebounds.

The Spartans have been led this year by a stingy defense, which ranks among the leaders in the Big Ten in field goal percentage defense (No. 2, 40.4%), 3-point field goal percentage defense (No. 1, 30.2%), rebounding margin (No. 4, +5.65 rpg) and blocked shots (No. 1, 5.54 bpg). Senior forward Gabe Brown leads the team in scoring with 11.8 ppg, while adding 4.3 rebounds and leads the team in 3-pointers made with 52.

Tom Izzo is 34-13 in his career against Iowa. MSU has won 14 of the last 18 games, and 19 of the last 24 overall against the Hawkeyes.

Why Bet on Iowa?

Iowa (18-8) won at No. 18 Ohio State 75-62 on Saturday. Iowa trailed by four points with 17:35 left before going on a 17-4 run. The Buckeyes pulled within six points with 2:40 remaining, but the Hawkeyes scored the final seven points to seal the win. The Buckeyes were just 2 of 11 from 3-point range.

Iowa reached at least 40 rebounds for the third time in six games. It trailed 21-10 midway through the first half but pulled away with a 39-38 halftime lead thanks to six offensive rebounds in the final 2:31. The Hawkeyes grabbed 20 offensive rebounds and capitalized with 18 second-chance points.

Keegan Murray had a game-high 24 points, which came on 10-of-17 shooting (59 percent). He also had five rebounds, two assists and a block in the game. Murray has scored 20+ points a Big Ten-best 18 times. It was Iowa’s first victory over a ranked opponent this season (1-4) and the Hawkeyes handed the Buckeyes their first home defeat of the season (11-1).

Iowa is one victory from notching its 500th win inside Carver-Hawkeye Arena, which opened in January, 1983 Iowa holds a 499-151 (.768) home record the past 39 years. Iowa is 4-1 since shifting Jordan Bohannon from off guard to point guard.

The Hawkeyes boast a 13-3 record in home games this season. Iowa has won 14 home contests each of the last three years. The Hawkeyes have averaged just over 13 home victories inside Carver-Hawkeye Arena since Fran McCaffery’s arrival in Iowa City in 2011. Murray, who is averaging 27.6 points over the last five games, is the only player nationally to average 23+ points, 8+ rebounds, and 2+ blocks this season.

Iowa leads the Big Ten and is fourth nationally in scoring offense (83.5). The Hawkeyes have ranked first in the Big Ten in scoring offense the last three seasons and have led the conference in scoring four of the last eight seasons.

For Tuesday’s game, two-time All-American Luka Garza, now in the NBA, will have his No. 55 retired at halftime.

Game Trends

  • Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games.
  • Hawkeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Expert Prediction

  • Iowa 79, Michigan State 74
 
 

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