Yale upset Princeton on their way to the Ivy league Tournament title. For their efforts, the 14-seed Bulldogs get a shot versus one of the Big Ten’s best teams, the Purdue Boilermakers. Can Yale continue the dream? Or will Purdue send Yale back to reality with a massive win and cover? Check out March Madness Odds, analysis, and a free pick for one of the first round’s most intriguing matchups, the Yale Bulldogs versus the Purdue Boilermakers.
Men’s College Basketball East Region: #14 Yale vs #3 Purdue
Yale Bulldogs versus Purdue Boilermakers Betting Info
- When: Friday, March 18 at 2:00 pm ET
- Where: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
- TV/Streaming: TBS
- Spread Odds: Purdue -16
Why bet on 14-Yale versus 3-Purdue?
Yale boasts one of the most underrated players in the country in 6’ 0” guard Azar Swain. In his last 3 games, all Yale wins, Swain scored 22, 25, and 23 points. He averages close to 19 points, about 2 assists, and around 5 boards per game. Swain should help the Bulldogs keep this closer than the spread.
Yale Bulldogs Offensive Averages
- Points/G: 72.8
- FG %: 44.3
- 3PT %: 32.6
- FT %: 74.2
- Rebounds/G: 33.0
Yale Bulldogs Defensive Averages
- Points/G: 69.3
- FG %: 42.4
- 3PT %: 30.3
- FT %: 68.1
- Rebounds/G: 32.3
Why bet on 3-Purdue versus 14-Yale?
Purdue is one of the best teams in the nation. The Big Ten Tournament runner up boasts arguably the top guard in the country in Jaden Ivey and one of the very best bigs in Zach Edey. The 7’ 4” Edey averages 14.7 points and 7.6 boards per contest. Ivey shoots 37% from three on his way to over 17 points per game. Yale can’t stop both Edey and Ivey.
Purdue Boilermakers Offensive Averages
- Points/G: 80.7
- FG %: 49.7
- 3PT %: 39.7
- FT %: 70.5
- Rebounds/G: 35.1
Purdue Boilermakers Defensive Averages
- Points/G: 68.8
- FG %: 42.8
- 3PT %: 33.9
- FT %: 72.8
- Rebounds/G: 25.5
3-Purdue versus 14-Yale Betting Trends
- Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- Yale is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win
- Under is 5-0 in the Bulldogs’ last 5
- Boilermakers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss
- Purdue is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games
- Under is 5-1 in the Boilermakers’ last 6
3-Purdue versus 14-Yale Betting Analysis
Purdue not only has Ivey and Edey, but underrated forward Trevion Williams comes off the bench. Williams averages 12 points, over 7 boards, 3 assists, and leads the Boilermakers in steals with 1 a game.
Edey, Ivey, and Williams make one of the best Big 3 in the nation. Often, Williams spells Edey, which gives Purdue coach Matt Painter plenty of ways to matchup with the Boilermakers’ opponents.
Yale has no shot of winning this game. They shouldn’t have a chance of keeping it close. But here’s the thing, even though Purdue is a terrific team and should make it to at least the Sweet 16, they’re horrible against the spread.
Purdue is 0-8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. They’re a bad team to back to cover. So, yes, move them on in your bracket until possibly the Elite Eight. But don’t back them ATS agianst Yale. The Bulldogs cover while Purdue wins by a comfortable 10 to 14 points.
NCAAM Pick: Yale Bulldogs ATS