Baylor at Oklahoma NCAA Football Week 5 Preview

The Baylor Bears head to Norman, Oklahoma, hoping to stay competitive with the #5 Oklahoma Sooners. Can Baylor keep it close, or will the Sooners beat the Bears by the close to 24 points spread? Check out NCAAF odds, analysis, and a free pick when Oklahoma hosts Big 12 rival Baylor!

Baylor at Oklahoma NCAA Football Week 5 Odds & Preview

Eyes on the prize.#BElite pic.twitter.com/8G0OiZr5DV

— Baylor Football (@BUFootball) September 26, 2018

When: Saturday, Sep. 29 at 3:30 pm ET Where: Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK TV: ABC Radio: Baylor / Oklahoma Live Stream: WatchESPN ATS Odds: Oklahoma -23.5 (-110) Over/Under Total Odds: 68.5 (-110)

Weather Forecast

• Clear: 25^°C/77^°F
• Humidity: 63%
• Precipitation: 1%
• Wind: 12 mph SSE
• Cloud Cover: 21!
• Type of Stadium: Open

Why Baylor is a good bet at +23.5?

Baylor’s 3-1 straight up with their lone loss this season to a ranked team. The Bears are much improved from last season’s squad. Even in the loss to the Duke Blue Devils, Baylor played well in the second half after entering halftime down 0-23. Baylor’s played well in their last 5 road games, winning 3 ATS and tying another ATS. The Bears appear set to put in a huge effort on Saturday.

Team Statistics

Offense:

• Average Score For: 36.2
• Total Yards: 486.8
• Pass Yards: 310.2
• Rush Yards: 176.5

Defense:

• Average Score Against: 23.5
• Total Yards: 347.8
• Pass Yards: 181.5
• Rush Yards: 166.2

Why #5 Oklahoma is a good bet at -23.5?

Oklahoma’s 28-21 win over Army as a -28 favorite sent red flags flying above Norman businesses. The Sooners could only beat the Army Knights by 7 points (in overtime no less!) as a huge fave. But, Oklahoma could turn it around on Saturday. The Sooners are loaded while Baylor isn’t. Not only that, but Oklahoma is fantastic against the spread versus teams with a winning record.

Team Statistics

Offense:

• Average Score For: 44.2
• Total Yards: 502.2
• Pass Yards: 288.2
• Rush Yards: 214

Defense:

• Average Score Against: 28
• Total Yards: 283.2
• Pass Yards: 211.5
• Rush Yards: 171.8

NCAA Football Betting Trends for Baylor at Oklahoma

• Baylor is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
• Baylor is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games
• Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
• Oklahoma is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma’s last 5 games

Final NCAA Football Betting Analysis

Baylor hung tight with Oklahoma in last season’s game, only losing by 8 points, 41-49. The Bears could stay close in this game on Saturday, but it’s tough not to back Oklahoma. Even though the spread’s dropped significantly from the -26.5 opening, the Sooners are great at beating teams with a winning record ATS. Another reason to back the Sooners is because it’s just difficult to see a quality squad like Oklahoma playing badly two weeks in a row. Oklahoma gets the nod. NCAA Football Week 4 Pick: Oklahoma -23.5