Central Michigan vs Michigan State NCAA Football Week 5

The  21st-ranked Michigan State Spartans will look to avoid a big upset and cover the high spread when they take on the in-state rival Central Michigan Chippewas on Saturday. Now, with both teams looking to improve on their respective Week 4 wins, let’s find out where the best NCAA Football Week 5 lines value lies in this matchup.

Central Michigan Chippewas (1-3) at No. 21 Michigan State Spartans (2-1)

We’re coming East Lansing… Ready to make a STATEment!#FireUpChips #BeatState pic.twitter.com/qnBkRykhiP

— CMU Football (@CMU_Football) September 26, 2018

When: Saturday, September 29, 2018 at 12:00 PM ET Where: Spartan Stadium TV: FS1 Radio: Central Michigan / Michigan State Live Stream: FoxSportsGo NCAA Football Week 5 Odds: Michigan State  -28.5 / Total: 46.5

Weather Forecast

• Clear: 12^°C/53^°F
• Humidity: 56%
• Precipitation: 0%
• Wind: 6 mph WNW
• Cloud Cover: 18%
• Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On Central Michigan?

Why should you bet on the Chippewas in Week 5? Because they’re getting a ton of points and Michigan State has already been beaten once this season. After dropping their first two games of the season, Central Michigan shut down Maine en route to a convincing 17-5 win last weekend as an 8-point home favorite. Quarterback Tommy Lazzaro completed just 7 of 16 passes for 82 yards with one touchdown and one interception while adding a rushing score in his first start and the Chippewas forced two interceptions in the win.

Why Bet On Michigan State?

Why should you bet on the 21st-ranked Spartans in Week 5? Well, because they’re a legitimate powerhouse that has way more talent than Central Michigan. The Spartans are also playing at home, so there’s that as well. Michigan State picked up a 35-21 win over Indiana last weekend while easily covering the spread as a 5.5-point road favorite on week after getting upset by Arizona State. Quarterback Brian Lewerke threw two TD passes, added the first catch of his career and made a sweet pitch to kicker Matt Coghlin for a 6-yard scoring run in the win. The Spartans had to overcome two interceptions by Lewerke and two lost fumbles to get the win. The Spartans needed some trick plays and a 69-yard interception return for a score from Shakur Brown to get the win against a Hoosiers team that just wouldn’t fold. “I felt like this would be the time and I told our guys `don’t be surprised if we fake one,'” coach Mark Dantonio said. “I don’t want to let them down too often, so that’s what we did.”

Central Michigan vs Michigan State NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Trends

• Central Michigan is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
• Central Michigan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
• The total has gone OVER in 7 of Central Michigan’s last 10 games
• Michigan State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
• Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 5 games

 

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Central Michigan vs Michigan State

I’m not fond at all of the high point spread surrounding this contest, but I think it’s a good thing if you like Central Michigan. The Chippewas are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in September and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, but Michigan State has gone 1-4 ATS in their last five home dates against Central Michigan. Nine of Michigan State’s last 12 victories have been decided by less than 20 points while Central Michigan has covered the chalk in seven of their last 10 games as a double-digit underdog. Simply put, the spread is too big for Michigan State to cover! NCAA Football Week 5 Pick: Michigan State 35 Central Michigan 17