Every week, we all scour the betting lines hoping to see that one underdog pick that jumps right off the page. The reality here is that if you can consistently pick winning underdogs, you are going to see your bankroll grow at a rather pleasing rate. It’s never that easy, though, as those dogs tend to be a little elusive, very often hitting in games that you would never have expected. For me, this is the game that immediately jumped off the page when I was looking at the lines for Week 7 of the college football season.
The Colorado Buffaloes are coming into this one on a roll, winning each of the 5 games that they have played this season. In fairness, this is arguably their biggest test of the season, but a win in California against the Trojans would very likely see Colorado move up from their current #19 spot in the national rankings. Let’s take a closer look at this one to see if the Buffaloes can pay out as a 7-point underdog.The point total for this game is set at 57.
Colorado vs USC NCAA Football Week 7 Odds & Expert PreviewColorado / USCLive Stream: FoxSportsGoNCAA Football Week 7 Odds: USC -7 (+100) / -255 / U 57 (-110)
- Clear: 17°C/63°F
- Humidity: 85%
- Precipitation: 6%
- Wind: 2 mph WSW
- Cloud Cover: 19%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Why bet on the Colorado Buffaloes?
The Buffaloes have been money in the bank this season, going 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS, but this game may well be the one where we see if they are for real or not. They have never beaten the Trojans, losing all 12 previous meetings. That said, 2 of the last 3 match-ups were incredibly tight, with the Buffaloes losing by a combined 7 points in the 2015 and 2016 meetings.
The more recent losses came when the Trojans were on the brink of getting back to the big-time, which is very much not the case this season. In terms of offense, the Buffaloes are ahead of USC in just about every stat that you can name and are outgaining them by about 100 YPG this season. There is a lot to like about this Buffaloes team, but is it enough to actually make you want to put your money on them here?
- Average Score For: 37.80
- Total Yards: 490.60
- Pass Yards: 293
- Rush Yards: 197.60
- Average Score Against: 18.40
- Total Yards: 355
- Pass Yards: 201
- Rush Yards: 154
Why bet on the USC Trojans?
The Trojans are coming into this game on the heels of back to back wins, neither of which were what you would call convincing. Still, it was important for this team to get back above the .500 mark, which they did in a 24-20 win over Arizona last week. What is not so convincing is this teams recent record against the spread, as they have gone 1-7 ATS on their last 8 games and have the exact same ATS record in their last 8 games at home.
What you cannot deny, though, is just how dominant this team has been against the Buffaloes in terms of straight up wins. Streaks are made to be broken, though, and the pressure will really be on the Trojans if they cannot get the win against Colorado at home.
- Average Score For: 24.60
- Total Yards: 390.80
- Pass Yards: 252
- Rush Yards: 138.80
- Average Score Against: 26.20
- Total Yards: 381.20
- Pass Yards: 218
- Rush Yards: 163.20
Colorado vs USC NCAA Football Week 7 Betting Trends
- Colorado is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
- Colorado is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
- The total wentUNDER in 6 of Colorado’s last 7 games
- USC is 1-7 ATS in the last 8 games
- USC is 20-5 SU in the last 25 games
- The total went OVER in 5 of Southern California’s last 6 games at home
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction for Colorado vs USC
I am ready to place a wager on this game and I plan on staying up to watch. I think the Buffaloes are going to cover the 7-point spread, but I also think that they might just break that streak and get the win here in my upset pick of the week.
NCAA Football Week 7 Pick: Colorado Buffaloes 34 USC Trojans 31