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A Closer Look At The Top College Football Trio Of Week 9 SU Picks
Kansas State at Iowa State
When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 29, 2016Where: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, Iowa
TV: N/A
Odds: Kansas State -7
Analysis:
Maybe it’s me, but I’m still trying to figure out why lowly Iowa State Cyclones (1-6 SU, 4-3 ATS) is just a 7-point underdog in this contest, not that the spread will matter much. Still, with the Cyclones losing three straight including their humbling 27-6 loss against Texas two weeks ago, I don’t see any way Iowa State upsets a Kansas State (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS) team that is desperate to find some consistency after alternating SU wins and losses over thief last five games.
Iowa State looked completely lost in their loss against the Longhorns on October 15 while getting held to just 98 rushing yards in the affair. K-State ‘handled its business’ by beating the same Texas team 21-7 this past weekend as quarterback Jesse Ertz threw two TD passes and ran for another. Kansas State has won eight straight in this series and will make it nine in a row by pounding the Cyclones into submission this coming weekend.
Pick: Kansas State SU Moneyline and ATS Win
No. 24 Penn State at Purdue
When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 29, 2016Where: Ross Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Indiana
TV: ABC, ESPN2
Odds: Penn State -13
Analysis:
The Penn State Nittany Lions (5-2 SU, 3-3-1 ATS) made my Week 8 pick look great as they not only covered the spread against former No.2 Ohio State on Saturday, but did so by getting the stunning 24-21 outright win. Likewise, Purdue (3-4 SU, 3-3-1 ATS) fell to Nebraska just as I predicted a week ago, although the Boilermakers did manage to cover the spread as insane 24.5-point underdogs against the Cornhuskers despite my pick otherwise.
Penn State was lifted to victory after Grant Haley returned a blocked field goal 60 yards for a huge fourth quarter touchdown, but for me, it was the poise and moxie of young quarterback Trace McSorley that really stood out. While the sophomore signal-caller completed just 8 of 23 passes for 154 yards and one touchdown, he also kept his head and showed some fire in his belly when it mattered most in the fourth and final stanza while gifted running back Saquon Barkley rushed for 99 yards on just a dozen carries.
Purdue has lost two straight and three of four although the Boilermakers did look better under interim head coach Gerard Parker than they did under former head coach Darrell Hazell. Purdue has lost 15 of its last 20 games while Penn State is looking to get on a nice run after beating the Buckeyes. No way do the Nittany Lions lose this affair!
Pick: Penn State Moneyline Win
No. 2 Michigan at Michigan State
When: Saturday, October 29 at 12:00 PM ETWhere: Spartan Stadium
TV: ESPN
Odds: Michigan -21
Analysis:
As much as I despise the arrogant Jim Harbaugh and his now, second-ranked Michigan Wolverines (7-0 SU, 4-3 ATS) I have to admit that I don’t see any way the Michigan State Spartans (2-5 SU, 1-6 ATS) get the upset win at home over their clearly better conference rivals.
Michigan rolled all over Illinois in its 41-8 rout on Saturday to remain unbeaten as quarterback Wilton Speight threw for 253 yards and two touchdowns in just three quarters before heading to the sideline for the remainder of the blowout. The Wolverines harassed Illinois quarterback Jeff George Jr. into a horrific 4-for-15 passing day and racked up 270 total rushing yards in the win.
Michigan State has been a complete disaster in dropping five straight games in increasing stunning fashion including their 28-17 smackdown at the hands of Maryland on Saturday. Michigan averages over 25 points per game more than Michigan State while allowing 19.7 fewer points per contest defensively. Personally, I think that says it all! Michigan wins outright on the road to stay unbeaten!
Pick: Michigan Moneyline Win
