After suffering an embarrassing loss in their nationally-televised Week 6 matchup, the Virginia Tech Hokies will look to take a step toward getting back in the national rankings when they hit the road to take on a North Carolina Tar Heels team that is completely desperate after some serious early-season struggles. With both of these ACC bowl game hopefuls looking to pick up a victory in the worst way, let’s find out which one is offering the best value against their NCAA Football Week 7 odds.
Virginia Tech at North Carolina NCAA Football Week 7 Lines & PickVirginia Tech / North CarolinaLive Stream: WatchESPNNCAA Football Week 7 Odds: Virginia Tech -6 / Total: 58.5
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Why Bet On Virginia Tech?
Why should you bet on Virginia Tech in this ACC clash? That’s easy. Because the Hokies are the far superior team on both sides of the ball. Despite suffering a humbling 45-23 home loss against Notre Dame, Virginia Tech averages a healthy 35.0 points per game to North Carolina’s 21.0 points per contest. The Hokies are also the far better defensive team in this matchup as they limit the opposition to 25.6 points per contest while North Carolina gives up a whopping 36.8 points per game defensively. The Hokies were down 17-16 at the half against the Fighting Irish last weekend but got outscored 28-3 in the second half.
“It was a good battle there for a while,” Hokies coach Justin Fuente said.
Quarterback Ryan Willis passed for 309 yards with two touchdowns and one interception in the loss, but the Hokies defense gave up 178 rushing yards and three touchdowns to Notre Dame running back Dexter Williams.
- Average Score For: 35
- Total Yards: 471.60
- Pass Yards: 282
- Rush Yards: 189.60
- Average Score Against: 25.60
- Total Yards: 398
- Pass Yards: 297.40
- Rush Yards: 100.60
Why Bet On North Carolina?
Why should you bet on North Carolina as a home underdog in this Week 7 showdown? Outside of the fact that the Tar Heels are playing at home, there just isn’t any good reason to back North Carolina. The Tar Heels got completely obliterated in their 47-10 road loss to Miami two weeks ago and they also suffered an eye-opening 41-19 road loss to East Carolina in Week 2. Quarterback Nathan Elliott was limited to 104 passing yards while fellow signal-caller Chazz Surratt tossed three interceptions in the emphatic loss to Miami.
“They put it on us today,” North Carolina coach Larry Fedora said. “They got us into some long-yardage situations and brought a lot of heat on third and long. And we didn’t handle it very well.”
- Average Score For: 21
- Total Yards: 377.75
- Pass Yards: 199.50
- Rush Yards: 178.25
- Average Score Against: 36.75
- Total Yards: 386.25
- Pass Yards: 177
- Rush Yards: 209.25
Virginia Tech at North Carolina NCAA Football Week 7 Betting Trends
- Virginia Tech is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina
- Virginia Tech is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Virginia Tech’s last 15 games
- North Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
- North Carolina is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of North Carolina’s last 11 games when playing Virginia Tech
Expert Analysis and Prediction for Virginia Tech at North Carolina
There’s a reason why 76 percent of the betting public likes Virginia Tech to win and cover the chalk in this one and it’s because the Hokies are completely and utterly superior to the Tar Heels in every way. North Carolina needs to clearly part ways with Larry Fedora and I just don’t see a way for the Tar Heels to improve at this point. Virginia Tech desperately wants to get back in the national rankings and it starts with an emphatic win over a North Carolina team that has already been routed twice this season.
I know the Tar Heels are 5-0 ATS in their last five following a bye week and 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games, but Virginia Tech has gone 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. The Hokies are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings against the Tar Heels and Virginia Tech is 5-1 ATS in their last six road dates against Carolina.
NCAA Football Week 7 Pick: Virginia Tech 38 North Carolina 21