NFL Betting Preview & Expert Pick: Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills.

NFL Betting Preview & Week 14 Expert Pick: Indianapolis at Buffalo

Written by on December 7, 2017

The Buffalo Bills are desperate to keep their slim playoff hopes alive, but in order to do so, they’re going to have to pick up a win with rookie quarterback Nathan Peterman under center. Unfortunately, the last time Peterman took the field, things didn’t work out very well for the Bills. Now, let’s find out if the Bills can get the big win in Week 14 no matter what the NFL betting odds may say.

Colts (3-9) vs. Bills (6-6) NFL Betting Preview & Expert Pick

  • When: Sunday, December 10, 2017, 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: New Era Field, Orchard Park, New York
  • TV: CBS
  • Radio: 107.3 FM (Indianapolis) / 96.5 FM (Buffalo)
  • Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
  • NFL Betting Odds: TBA

Weather Forecast

  • Overcast: -4°C/24°F
  • Humidity: 68%
  • Precipitation: 18%
  • Cloud Cover: 97%
  • Wind: 17 mph W
  • Stadium Type: Open

NFL Week 14 Spread & Game Preview: 49ers vs. Texans

Recent Head to Head (Last 10 Games)

  • Record: Indianapolis Colts lead 7-3
  • Score: Indianapolis Colts 21.50 / Buffalo Bills 20.70
  • Rush Yards: Indianapolis Colts 95.40 / Buffalo Bills 134.80
  • Pass Attempts: Indianapolis Colts 34.60 / Buffalo Bills 28.50
  • Completion Percentage: Indianapolis Colts 59.83 / Buffalo Bills 61.05
  • Passing Yards: Indianapolis Colts 211.70 / Buffalo Bills 179.50
  • Total Yards: Indianapolis Colts 307.1 / Buffalo Bills 314.3
  • Turnovers: Indianapolis Colts 1.70 / Buffalo Bills 0.80

Why Bet on the Indianapolis Colts?

The best reason to bet on the Colts is that they now have the best quarterback in this contest. While Indianapolis has lost three straight and six of their last seven games overall, quarterback Jacoby Brissett has been extremely admirable in his first season as a starter while playing behind one of the league’s worst offensive lines. Brissett has completed 60.4 percent of his passes while throwing for 2,542 yards with 12 TD passes and seven interceptions in a dozen games. Over his last five starts, Brissett has thrown seven TD passes and four interceptions. “Jacoby is tough. It’s possible all the hits he’s taken this year have begun to take a toll,” Pagano said. “(But) you keep going. You keep playing. That’s what you do because you love ball.”

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 17.08
  • Total Yards: 296.00
  • Rush Yards: 99.08
  • Passing Yards: 196.92
  • Average Score Against: 27.50
  • Total Yards: 380.00
  • Rush Yards: 108.42
  • Passing Yards: 271.58

Why Bet on the Buffalo Bills?

The best reason to back the Bills in this contest is that they’re completely desperate. Buffalo is also playing at home and has a Pro Bowl running back in veteran LeSean McCoy. The bad news is that starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor will be out of the lineup after suffering a knee injury in last week’s 23-3 loss to New England. Now, Buffalo’s plan is to ride the gifted McCoy hard in this contest. McCoy has rushed for 851 yards on the season, which ranks sixth in the NFL. He is tied with Saints running back Mark Ingram with nine rushes over 20 yards. Turnovers have hurt the Bills in a big way this season. LeSean McCoy may be the reason for the Bills to be the NFL Betting favorites against the Colts. “It’s frustrating, yeah,” McCoy said. “We had opportunities to capitalize on them earlier in the game. Not sure if that will make a difference between win or loss, but it will sure help it out. We were driving. Running, throwing, running, throwing. Then we had a turnover that hurt us.” Unfortunately, the Bills could be in for even more turnovers if Peterman’s last start is any indication. The fifth-round draft pick tossed a mind-boggling five interceptions in less than one half after head coach Sean McDermott foolishly named his the team’s starter for their Week 10 matchup against the Chargers a month ago.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 18.92
  • Total Yards: 296.42
  • Rush Yards: 122.00
  • Passing Yards: 174.42
  • Average Score Against: 27.50
  • Total Yards: 380.00
  • Rush Yards: 108.42
  • Passing Yards: 271.58

Latest NFL Betting Trends for Week 14

  • Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
  • Colts are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis’s last 6 games
  • Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Bills are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 7 games

Expert Analysis and NFL Betting Prediction

I know the Buffalo Bills are playing at home and that they’re desperate to give their playoff hopes a boost, but I like the Indianapolis Colts to get the big upset win on the road, mostly because Nathan Peterman looked like a Pop Warner quarterback the last time he took the field in one of the worst performances I can remember. The Bills are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a double-digit loss at home, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Conversely, the Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. I’m going with Jacoby Brissett to outduel Nathan Peterman and you should too!
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