Jaguars vs Bills NFL Week 12 Lines, Preview & Pick.

Jaguars vs Bills NFL Week 12 Lines, Preview & Pick

Written by on November 21, 2018

Whether we choose to believe it or not, momentum plays a huge role in professional sports. For example, how many times have we seen a team struggle in the early part of the season, only to get on a late roll that ends with them making a deep run in the postseason? Similarly, there can be single losses that can cause a team to buckle and fold the rest of the way, which is exactly what the Jacksonville Jaguars might be looking at right now.

The Jags were already on a losing skid heading into last weekend, but they looked great through three quarters against the Steelers before gassing a 16-point lead late. Will that loss prove to be the straw that broke the camels back? We might get to see the impact first-hand this weekend when the Jaguars go on the road to face the Buffalo Bills, a team that has been among the worst in the league all season long. The Jaguars will start this one as a 3-point favorite, with the point total set at 37.

Jaguars vs Bills NFL Week 12 Lines, Preview & Pick

  • When: Sunday. November 25 at 1 PM EST
  • Where: New Era Field, Buffalo
  • TV: CBS
  • Radio: SiriusXM/NFL
  • NFL Week 12 Lines: Jacksonville Jaguars -3 (Total 37)

Weather Forecast

  • Mostly Cloudy: 7°C/45°F
  • Humidity: 83%
  • Precipitation: 8%
  • Cloud Cover: 72%
  • Wind: 7 mph SW
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars?

While much of the flak for the lack of success that the Jags have seen this season has fallen on the shoulders of QB Blake Bortles, the reality is that this team has still been losing even while he has been on an extended stretch where he has not turned the ball over. It might be fairer to suggest that the injury to RB Leonard Fournette might be more to blame, as the Jags look like a very different team with him in the line-up.

Jacksonville was outstanding through 3 quarters last week, going up 16-0 on the Steelers and looking very good on both sides of the football. They gassed that lead and lost 20-16, but it was more about the Steelers offense cranking it up than anything else. The Jags have now lost 6 in a row, but they have covered the spread in each of their last 2 games.

Team Stats

  • Average Score For: 17.60
  • Total Yards: 347.90
  • Rush Yards: 103.00
  • Passing Yards: 244.90
  • Average Score Against: 21.90
  • Total Yards: 319.50
  • Rush Yards: 109.30
  • Passing Yards: 210.20

Why bet on the Buffalo Bills?

The Buffalo Bills are coming into this one off a bye week, so it’s easy to forget that they put together their best performance of the season right before that, taking down the New York Jets 41-10 in Week 10. A win over the hapless Jets is nothing to get too excited about, but it was the performance by the offense that will have surely fired up the Bills faithful.

Jaguars vs Bills is one of the worst NFL Week 12 games.

After all, this is a team that is averaging less than 14 PPG this season, so being able to put 41 points up on the board is probably something that no-one saw coming. The Bills have gone 4-2 SU in the last 6 times that Jacksonville came to town, but I am not so sure they improve on that record this weekend, as they have just 1 win at home so far this season.

Team Stats

  • Average Score For: 13.70
  • Total Yards: 268.60
  • Rush Yards: 108.70
  • Passing Yards: 159.90
  • Average Score Against: 25.10
  • Total Yards: 302.20
  • Rush Yards: 99.80
  • Passing Yards: 202.40

Jaguars vs Bills NFL Week 12 Betting Trends

  • Jacksonville is 0-3-2 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville’s last 6 games
  • Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Jaguars vs Bills

I saw enough out of the Jaguars last week to believe that they will be able to run the ball well and keep the Bills offense off the field. With that in mind, I am taking Jacksonville to win and cover.

Score: Jacksonville Jaguars 20 – Buffalo Bills 13