The New England Patriots may be the league’s defending Super Bowl champions, but the ‘model-franchise’ Pats will undoubtedly have their hands full in trying to slow down a Kansas City Chiefs team that hasn’t lost a game in three months!
Thanks to this expert NFL betting lines breakdown, you’re going to be well-armed with bankroll-boosting info that will help you make the most out of your ATS wager on this intriguing AFC divisional pairing.
Okay, with game day quickly approaching, let’s find out why this AFC divisional showdown is an ‘upset special’ that should have every NFL gridiron gaming enthusiast on high alert!
How To Bet The Kansas City Chiefs Vs New England Patriots NFL Divisional Playoff Lines & TV Info
What: Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots
When: 4:35 PM ET, Saturday, January 16, 2016
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
NFL Odds: New England -5
Over/Under: 43
Why Bet The Kansas City Chiefs Odds at +5
Because they’re built perfectly to beat New England!
Winners of a whopping 11 straight games, the Chiefs look like they’re built to beat New England if you ask me!
The Chiefs (12-5 SU, 9-8 ATS, 8-8-1 O/U) finished the regular season ranked in the top 10 in all four major defensive statistical categories, including third in points allowed (17.9 ppg) and have a plethora of quality defenders that could make life rough for Tom Brady and New England’s struggling offense.
Kansas City also ranked ninth in scoring (25.3 ppg), meaning they should at least be able to keep pace with the Pats offensively, even though No. 1 wide receiver Jeremy Maclin is banged-up with a high ankle sprain.
Kansas City ranked a surprisingly solid sixth in rushing (127.8 ypg) despite losing their best player early in the season in Pro Bowl running back Jamaal Charles.
The Chiefs also have a ‘super cerebral’ veteran quarterback that doesn’t turn the ball over often in signal-caller Alex Smith.
Why Bet The New England Patriots Odds at -5
Because they’re playoff experienced and have the best postseason quarterback in history leading them!
Not only are the Patriots (12-4 SU, 7-7-2 ATS, 9-7 O/U) playing at home, but they’re also led by the greatest quarterback in postseason history leading them in the incomparable Tom Brady.
Mr. ‘Deflategate’ has won an incredible 72.4 percent of his postseason starts while going 21-8 in the playoffs. Despite his receiving corps suffering a series of decimating injuries, Brady somehow managed to finish fourth in passer rating (102.2) and third in passing yards (4,770). With wide receiver Julian Edelman set to return for this contest, Brady and the Pats’ passing attack could regain some of the mojo they’ve lost over the better part of their last eight weeks.
New England has won four consecutive home playoff games while winning nine of their last 10 home dates overall and compiling a solid 5-2-3 ATS mark along the way. The Pats have compiled a scorching-hot 18-2 SU mark over their last 20 home games and a bankroll-boosting 12-5-3 ATS mark during that stretch.
The Kansas City Chiefs enter this match with an impressive 11-game winning streak
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
The New England Patriots may be playing at home, but for me, it’s easy to see why 60 percent of the betting public likes Kansas Coty to bring home the bacon as a 5-point road dog.
Kansas City has compiled a perfect 5-0 ATS mark in their last five road games while also going 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against their AFC counterparts.
The Patriots are 4-1-2 ATS in their last seven home games and 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 home games against a team with a winning road record and that bodes well for the Pats coming into this tough home date.
Unfortunately, the Patriots are also just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 playoff games and a surprising 4-9 ATS in their last 13 playoff home games.
To get right to the point, I firmly believe the Kansas City Chiefs are the better team on both sides of the ball, making them the right pick to cover the 5-point spread at the very least!
My Final score prediction is Kansas City 27 New England 24
