Pittsburgh at Indianapolis Week 10 NFL Odds & Expert Pick

Pittsburgh at Indianapolis Week 10 NFL Odds & Expert Pick

Written by on November 9, 2017

One of the apparent mismatches on Sunday around the NFL is AFC South-leading Pittsburgh coming out of its bye week and facing a bad Colts team that the Steelers have routed each of the past three seasons. But is 10.5 points too many to give this time in the NFL odds? I think so. But in reality, the NFL lines weren’t going to favor the Colts much in the first place.

Pittsburgh at Indianapolis Week 10 NFL Odds & Expert Pick

When: Sunday, 1 PM ET Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis TV: CBS Radio: WDVE-FM 102.5 (Pittsburgh) / ESPN 107.5 FM (Indianapolis) Stream Option: NFL Live Opening NFL Odds: Steelers -10.5 (43.5)

Series History

  • Total Meetings: 29
  • First Meeting: November 12th, 1950. Forbes Field. Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Last Meeting: November 24th, 2016. Lucas Oil Stadium. Indianapolis, Indiana
  • All-Time Series: Pittsburgh Steelers 23-6-0
  • Largest Margin of Victory: Pittsburgh 45-3 (1985)
  • Longest Win Streak: Pittsburgh 9 (1985-2002)
  • Current Win Streak: Pittsburgh 4 (2011-2016)

Last Season

Pittsburgh won at Indy 28-7 on a Thursday night in 2016. Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown hooked up for three touchdowns. The Steelers built a 21-7 lead by scoring touchdowns on each of their first three possessions — a 5-yard TD run from Le’Veon Bell, and touchdown catches by Brown of 25 and 33 yards. Andrew Luck sat with a concussion and is out this entire season with a shoulder problem. This contest will mark the 24th all-time regular season meeting between the teams, with Pittsburgh leading the series, 17-6.

Top Straight-Up NFL Week 10 Betting Picks

Why Bet On Pittsburgh’ NFL Odds?

The Steelers have won three consecutive games and are tied with New England for the best record in the AFC (6-2). Pittsburgh had a bye last week and defeated Detroit 20-15 in Week 8. Rookie wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster had seven catches for 193 yards and a touchdown (97 yards) in Week 8 and was named the AFC Offensive Player of the Week. Smith-Schuster leads all NFL rookies with 424 receiving yards. Brown leads the NFL with 57 catches and 835 receiving yards and is on pace to record his fifth consecutive season with at least 100 catches and 1,000 receiving yards. Bell (979 scrimmage yards) and Brown (835) rank fourth and fifth, respectively, in the NFL in scrimmage yards. If Bell and Brown each reach 1,000 scrimmage yards on Sunday at Indianapolis, it would mark the seventh time in NFL history that a pair of teammates had at least 1,000 scrimmage yards each in their team’s first nine games of a season. Bell and Brown, who also accomplished the feat in 2014, would join Indianapolis’ Edgerrin James and Marvin Harrison (1999 and 2000) as the only pairs of teammates in NFL history to each record at least 1,000 scrimmage yards in their team’s first nine games of a season multiple times. Pittsburgh will get back No. 2 WR Martavis Bryant this week after he was suspended vs. Detroit over remarks on social media that he’s better than Smith-Schuster. Roethlisberger said that he expects a big second half of the season for Bryant, who has 18 catches for 234 yards and one touchdown.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 20.88
  • Total Yards: 363.76
  • Pass Yards: 254.88
  • Rush Yards: 108.88
  • Average Score Against: 16.38
  • Total Yards: 286.38
  • Pass Yards: 180
  • Rush Yards: 106.38

Why Bet On Indianapolis’ NFL Odds?

The Colts recorded a 20-14 win at Houston last week. On the final play of the game, which started at the Indianapolis seven-yard line, Colts linebacker Jabaal Sheard recorded a sack and forced a fumble – which was recovered by linebacker Barkevious Mingo – to seal the victory. Wide receiver T.Y. Hilton had five catches for 175 yards and two touchdowns in the win at Houston. Hilton has 10 career games with at least 150 receiving yards, tied with Julio Jones for the fourth-most 150-yard receiving games in a player’s first six seasons. The only players with more such games in their first six seasons are Hall of Famers Lance Alworth (13) and Jerry Rice (13) and Randy Moss (12). Are the Colts a safe bet in Week 10? Although the Colts have had an ugly record this year, they are 3-1 ATS in home games, which is one of the best marks in the NFL. Adam Vinatieri needs to convert one field goal from 30-39 yards to tie John Carney (165) for the fourth-most made field goals from that distance in NFL history. He needs to convert one field goal from 50+ yards to tie Jason Elam and Phil Dawson (39) for the sixth-most made field goals from that distance in NFL history. Colts top cornerback Vontae Davis (groin) is out for Week 10 against the Steelers. Davis was sidelined for Week 9 as well, but that was allegedly for personal reasons. He’s now rehabbing his groin issue. Rashaan Melvin is the Colts’ No. 1 corner without Davis.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 18
  • Total Yards: 304.57
  • Pass Yards: 205.89
  • Rush Yards: 98.68
  • Average Score Against: 28.89
  • Total Yards: 393.56
  • Pass Yards: 279.67
  • Rush Yards: 113.89

Latest NFL Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Pittsburgh is 15-3 SU in the last 18 games
  • The total went UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh’s last 8 games
  • Indianapolis is 5-11 ATS in the last 16 games when playing Pittsburgh
  • Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went OVER in 5 of Indianapolis’s last 7 games

Expert Prediction & NFL Week 11 Pick

Pittsburgh will win but might be looking ahead to next Thursday’s game so take the points in the NFL odds.