For the purposes of the preseason, I am going to take a little bit of a different approach to previewing games, as we really don’t know what to expect from the majority of guys taking the field. I am going to look at the betting stats of each team over the last 3 seasons to see if we can come up with some winning picks.
NFL Preseason Week 1 Odds Minnesota Vikings Vs Buffalo BillsWhen: Thursday, August 10 at 7 PM EST Where: New Era Field, Buffalo TV: NFL Network Radio: Sirius XM Radio NFL Preseason Odds:
NFL Preseason Straight Up StatsOver the last 3 seasons, the Vikings have compiled a 26-23 record, and were 10-14 on the road. The SU odds have not yet been posted, but given that the Vikings are a 1-point favorite, we can assume that they will have a slight edge in the SU odds. Things look good for the Vikings here, as they were 16-7 as the favorite over the past 3 seasons, although just 3-3 as a road favorite.
The Buffalo Bills have been the model of mediocrity over the past 3 seasons, going 24-24 SU during that stretch. Buffalo were better at home, going 13-10, and they also performed adequately as the underdog, going 13-12. As a home underdog, Buffalo went 4-3 over the past 3 seasons.
NFL Preseason Point Spread StatsMinnesota have the best record ATS in the NFL over the past 3 seasons, going 33-16-0 during that stretch. They were particularly good on the road, going 15-9-0, although just 3-3-0 as a road favorite. These are some impressive numbers, especially when you consider that the spread for this game is set at just a single point.
Buffalo were not as impressive ATS during this same period, and were just 23-24-1 over the past 3 seasons. They were just 11-12-0 as the home team, but did have a winning 4-3-0 record as the home underdog. Still not really convincing enough for things to swing in their favor here.
OVER/UNDER StatsIn recent years, the Minnesota Vikings have been a team that has lived or died by how well their defense has played, and that is reflected in their O/U stats. The Vikings are 17-31-1 during the past 3 seasons and 7-16-1 on the road. They are also just 2-4-0 O/U as a road favorite, all of which suggests that they keep things close and tight.
At 23-25-0, the Buffalo Bills are right in the middle of the pack, which they seem to be with every single stat, betting or otherwise. The OVER was more likely when the Bills played at home, as they posted a 13-10-0 record over the last 3 years, and that included a 4-3-0 record as a home underdog.