San Francisco is Underdog Against Minnesota in NFL Preseason Week 3

San Francisco is Underdog Against Minnesota in NFL Preseason Week 3

Written by on August 25, 2017

It’s a little sad to see a once great franchise go through tough times during the NFL preseason, which is exactly what is happening right now in San Francisco. The 49ers were THE team to beat in the 80’s, but other than a couple of good years under Jim Harbaugh, this team has failed to get close to the heights reached by Montana, Young, Rice, and the rest. There were sweeping changes made to the front office during the offseason, and while those moves may help bring a little bit more stability to the 49ers, it is going to take some time before that translates to performances on the field, so with this in mind be aware that NFL betting odds and lines may be continue changing until Sunday. There is a good chance that the only thing the 49ers will be competing for this season is the worst record in the league. The Vikings will look a little different now that Adrian Peterson has moved on, which means that QB Sam Bradford is going to need to step up, as is the defense, which was very good at times last season. Both teams have split their first two preseason games, and will be looking to get a winning record when they hook up on Sunday night.

San Francisco at Minnesota NFL Preseason Odds & Game Info

When: Sunday, August 27 at 8 PM EST Where: US Bank Stadium, Minneapolis TV: NBC Radio: KSAN 107.7 FM (San Francisco) / KFXN-FM (Minnesota) Live Stream: NFL Game Pass NFL Preseason Odds: Minnesota Vikings -4½ (-110) Weather Forecast
  • Mostly Cloudy: 19°C/67°F
  • Humidity: 72%
  • Precipitation: 5%
  • Cloud Cover: 70%
  • Wind: 11 mph N
  • Stadium Type: Indoor
  • Wind Field Impact: N/A

Straight Up Stats

The only team worse than the 49ers in the NFL last season were the Cleveland Browns. San Francisco finished the season with a 2-14 record, taking their overall SU stats to a woeful 15-33. The road was definitely not kind to them during this stretch, as they only managed to post a 6-18 record, which included going just 3-15 as the road underdog. The Vikings saw their 2016 season get off to a good start, thanks in large part to the play of the defense. They were unable to maintain that high level of play, ending the season with an 8-8 record. That took them to 26-23 since 2014, which included a very solid 16-9 record at home. The Vikings were a solid bet as the home favorite, going 13-4 in those games.

Cincinnati at Washington Football Preseason Odds & Expert Analysis

Point Spread Stats

The 49ers are coming into this game as a 4 ½ point underdog. They were certainly not a very good bet ATS last season, going just 4-11-1, which took their record over the past 3 seasons to 17-29-2, the second worst ATS record in the league during that period. They were 8-14-2 on the road, and just 5-11-2 as the road underdog. Not the sort of numbers that inspire confidence in bettors. The Vikings went a respectable 9-7 ATS last season, taking their record since 2014 to 33-16, which just happens to be the best in the league. Minnesota were particularly dominant in their own building, going 18-7 during this period, which included a 12-5 record as a home favorite. All signs would appear to point in the direction of the Vikings ATS for this game.


Offensive Total Yards 315.06 Current Offensive Rush Yards 75.31 Offensive Passing Yards 239.75 Average Score For 20.44 Defensive Total Yards 314.88 Current Defensive Rush Yards 106.94 Defensive Passing Yards 207.94 Average Score Against 19.19


The O/U for this one is set at 42 points. The 49ers gave up a lot of points last season, which may explain why 10 of their 16 games went OVER. Since 2014, the O/U record for the 49ers was 22-26, which included going 15-9 as the away team. As the road underdog, the 4pers saw their O/U record sit at 14-4, which would certainly suggest that the 42 points could be crossed here. The Minnesota Vikings are the favorites in the betting odds for this NFL Preseason matchup. Minnesota were better on defense last season, so no real surprise that they were 7-9 O/U, taking their 3-year record to 17-31-1, which was the least number of OVER’s in the league during that stretch. Their record was 10-15 as the home team, and 7-10 when they were the home favorite, as they are for this game.

Team Statistics


Offensive Total Tards 308.12 Current Offensive Rush Yards 126.19 Offensive Passing Yards 181.94 Average Score For 19.31 Defensive Total Yards 406.31 Current Defensive Rush Yards 165.81 Defensive Passing Yards 240.50 Average Score Against 30.00


Offensive Total Yards 315.06 Current Offensive Rush Yards 75.31 Offensive Passing Yards 239.75 Average Score For 20.44 Defensive Total Yards 314.88 Current Defensive Rush Yards 106.94 Defensive Passing Yards 207.94 Average Score Against 19.19

San Francisco 49ers vs Minnesota Vikings Game History

Total Meetings: 46 First Meeting: October 15th, 1961. Metropolitan Stadium. Bloomington, Minnesota. Last Meeting: September 14th, 2015. Levi’s Stadium. Santa Clara, CA. All-Time Series: San Francisco 23-22-1 Largest Margin of Victory: San Francisco 51-7 (1984) Longest Win Streak: Minnesota 5 (1963-1965) Current Win Streak: San Francisco 1 (2015)

Expert Pick and NFL Preseason Final Score Prediction

I think it’s a relatively safe bet to take the Vikings to win and cover, but the O/U looks like a bit of a trickier proposition. I am going out on a limb and taking the UNDER.

San Francisco 49ers 13 Minnesota Viking 23