It’s a matchup of 1-2 teams on Sunday from Atlanta as the Tennessee Titans visit the Falcons. Needless to say, the playoffs are going to be a long shot for the loser because few teams that start 1-3 have played extra football under the current playoff format. Atlanta is favored on the NFL odds.
How to Bet Titans vs Falcons 2019 NFL Week 4 Lines & Game Info
- When: Sunday, 1 PM ET
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- TV: CBS
- NFL Week 4 Lines: Atlanta Falcons -4 (Total 45.5)
Last Meeting
Teams last met in 2015 with Atlanta winning 10-7 in Nashville. Matt Ryan threw for 251 yards and a touchdown, while Devonta Freeman ran for 116 yards. Atlanta took control in the third quarter, outgaining the Titans 134-35. Ryan finished off an 88-play drive by tossing an 8-yard TD pass to Julio Jones, giving the Falcons their first lead of the game at 10-7 late in the quarter. The Titans were without starting QB Marcus Mariota and a few other starters due to injury.
Weather Forecast
- Partly Cloudy: 34°C/94°F
- Humidity: 51%
- Precipitation: 10%
- Cloud Cover: 31%
- Wind: 5 mph ENE
- Stadium Type: Retractable
Why Bet on Tennessee?
The Titans are on extra rest after losing 20-7 last Thursday in Jacksonville. Marcus Mariota completed 23-of-40 passes for 304 yards, adding six rushes for 34 yards. A horrendous offensive line performance — nine sacks — didn’t help, but Mariota made things easy and predictable for the defense. Mariota was pressured a career-high 18 times. The Browns and Colts each got Mariota four times in the first two games of the season before the Jaguars went wild.
Mariota is averaging career-low marks in completion rate (61%) and QBR (38) despite being surrounded with easily the most-talented supporting cast of his career. There has been some talk the Titans might go to backup Ryan Tannehill but Coach Mike Vrabel said that the team is not looking at a QB change “right now.” That doesn’t seem like a big vote of confidence for Mariota.
Vrabel said the issues vs Jacksonville stemmed from a combination of things, from technique to communication issues to guys just getting beat on the offensive line. On occasion, Mariota appeared to hold the ball too long, resulting in him being swarmed.
Delanie Walker caught 7-of-9 targets for 64 yards in the loss. Walker could have had an eighth grab for an 11-yard touchdown early in the third quarter, but the ball got tipped. Derrick Henry rushed 17 times for 44 yards and a touchdown, adding a two-yard reception. Running in soggy conditions, Henry came close to busting a few big runs, but he could never quite make it happen.
Help’s on the Way
The Titans drafted guard Nate Davis in the third-round of the NFL Draft but he has been inactive the first three games of the regular season as he works his way back from missing time during camp with an injury. It’s possible that Davis gets in the lineup for Titans vs Falcons. Jamil Douglas has started the first three games for the Titans at right guard.
Team Stats
Offense- Points per Game: 22.33
- Passing Yards: 194.67
- Rushing Yards: 112.33
- Yards per Play: 4.93
- Points per Game: 17.33
- Passing Yards: 189.67
- Rushing Yards: 119.00
- Yards per Play: 5.20
Why Bet on Atlanta?
The Falcons were 27-24 losers at Indianapolis on Sunday. The Colts scored on five of their seven possessions, punted once and picked up three first downs on the final drive to prevent Matt Ryan and the Falcons from getting a chance to win it or force overtime after cutting the deficit to 27-24 with 4:11 left.
Ryan completed 29-of-34 passes for 304 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. The Atlanta offense was stuck in neutral most of the first half, as Ryan went 7-of-11 for 88 yards and the interception before the break. His interception was a terrible one in the red zone that led to three points for the Colts. Ryan was on fire in the final 30 minutes, however, as he went 22-of-23 in the second half and tossed a pair of touchdowns to Austin Hooper in the red zone before hooking up with Julio Jones for a 10-yard score.
Jones had eight catches for 128 yards and that TD. Devonta Freeman rushed 16 times for 88 yards in the Falcons’ Week 3 loss to the Colts. He added three catches for seven yards.
Some Doubts
Injury-wise, the Falcons have lost safety Keanu Neal to a season-ending torn Achilles. Neal had just gotten over a torn ACL that cost him most of last season. His absence is a major blow to what was already one of the league’s weaker secondaries. Neal’s absence means the Falcons will be devoid of their enforcer on defense. He developed a reputation as a hard-hitting, in-the-box safety capable of stopping the run. Kemal Ishmael, a hybrid safety/linebacker, is listed as Neal’s backup at strong safety.
Coach Dan Quinn expects defensive tackle Grady Jarrett to be back towards the end of the week. He missed parts of Sunday’s game with a toe injury. Change-of-pace running back Ito Smith is in the concussion protocol. Smith played just three snaps in Week 3 before exiting the game. Backup RB and kick returner Kenjon Barner is also in the protocol.
Team Stats
Offense- Points per Game: 18.00
- Passing Yards: 291.00
- Rushing Yards: 65.00
- Yards per Play: 5.56
- Points per Game: 24.00
- Passing Yards: 167.00
- Rushing Yards: 110.50
- Yards per Play: 4.59
Titans vs Falcons 2019 NFL Week 4 Betting Trends
- Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings
- Titans are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Atlanta
- Titans are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games played in September
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee’s last 6 games against an opponent in the NFC conference
- Falcons are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games played in week 4
- Falcons are 0-12 ATS in their last 12 games against an opponent in the AFC conference
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games at home
Expert Final Score Prediction for Titans vs Falcons
Tennessee Titans 20 – Atlanta Falcons 27
