Week 12 NFL Free Picks: San Francisco At Miami

Written by on November 25, 2016

You simply cannot hope to win in the NFL with any degree of regularity if you don’t have an elite QB taking all the snaps. Those types of guys are in short supply, which is why we generally only get a handful of teams who have a legitimate shot at winning Super Bowl 51. A few years ago, the Miami Dolphins drafted Ryan Tannehill in the hopes that he would reach the elite level. There have been some growing pains along the way, but Tannehill is now starting to meet expectations. He is a major reason why the Dolphins have reeled off 5 straight wins and are now right in the hunt in the AFC playoff picture. This weekend will see them welcome in the San Francisco 49ers, a team that most definitely does not have an elite QB in the fold. Colin Kaepernick made a big splash when he first arrived in the league, but his played has dropped off dramatically over the past couple of seasons. No real surprise that the Dolphins are a 7.5-point favorite for this one.

A Closer Look At The Week 12 NFL Free Picks: 49ers At Dolphins

When: Sunday, November 27 at 1 PM ESTWhere: Hard Rock Stadium, MiamiTV: CBSRadio: KSAN and WQAMLive Stream: CBS Sports NetworkNFL Odds: Dolphins -7 ½ 

Why bet on the San Francisco 49ers

It seems a long time ago that the 49ers opened the season with a win, as they have gone on to lose the next 9 games after that initial success. The 49ers offense is averaging a touch over 20 PPG this season, which simply isn’t enough, especially when the defense is coughing up more than 30 points each week. Mistakes have killed this team, as they have been a little too happy to turn the ball over. They were surprisingly able to go turnover free against the Patriots last week, but were still totally outplayed and outclassed. The San Francisco 49ers are just 2-8 ATS, and have only managed to cover once as an underdog this season.

Why bet on the Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins have very quickly gone hot, winning 5-straight and moving just 2 games back of the New England Patriots in the AFC East. This is not a team that can be considered an offensive juggernaut, as they are averaging just shy of 22 PPG, but they are playing it tight defensively and taking advantage of their limited chances. One of their biggest keys to success on this winning run has been their ability to protect the football. They are winning the turnover battle in a big way during their 5-game win streak, turning it over just twice, while the defense has 9 takeaways. The Dolphins are also 4-0-1 ATS in those 5 games, so they are proving to be a good bet.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

Teams always seem to find a way to win when they get on a roll, but I don’t think the Dolphins are going to have to look too hard for ways to beat this 49ers squad. I like the Dolphins to win and cover.

San Francisco 49ers 10 Miami Dolphins 20